Official temperature observations from Seattle-area stations on August 26, 2026, placed the daily high firmly in the 76-77°F range, aligning with National Weather Service data and driving the overwhelming market consensus. Moderate marine influence, partial cloud cover, and typical late-summer onshore flow suppressed stronger warming, keeping readings near the long-term August average high of roughly 75°F rather than allowing typical heat buildup. With resolution criteria tied to verified measurements, near-100% implied probability reflects traders' confidence in finalized records over model projections. Minor shifts could arise only from post hoc quality-control revisions or station-specific discrepancies, both rare for this timeframe.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on August 26?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 26?
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$26,935 Vol.
$26,935 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$26,935 Vol.
$26,935 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
$2,627 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,533 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,143 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,340 Vol.
100%
78-79°F
$7,846 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,624 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$597 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$273 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$358 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$467 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Seattle-area stations on August 26, 2026, placed the daily high firmly in the 76-77°F range, aligning with National Weather Service data and driving the overwhelming market consensus. Moderate marine influence, partial cloud cover, and typical late-summer onshore flow suppressed stronger warming, keeping readings near the long-term August average high of roughly 75°F rather than allowing typical heat buildup. With resolution criteria tied to verified measurements, near-100% implied probability reflects traders' confidence in finalized records over model projections. Minor shifts could arise only from post hoc quality-control revisions or station-specific discrepancies, both rare for this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$26,935End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Seattle-area stations on August 26, 2026, placed the daily high firmly in the 76-77°F range, aligning with National Weather Service data and driving the overwhelming market consensus. Moderate marine influence, partial cloud cover, and typical late-summer onshore flow suppressed stronger warming, keeping readings near the long-term August average high of roughly 75°F rather than allowing typical heat buildup. With resolution criteria tied to verified measurements, near-100% implied probability reflects traders' confidence in finalized records over model projections. Minor shifts could arise only from post hoc quality-control revisions or station-specific discrepancies, both rare for this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,935End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from Seattle-area stations on August 26, 2026, placed the daily high firmly in the 76-77°F range, aligning with National Weather Service data and driving the overwhelming market consensus. Moderate marine influence, partial cloud cover, and typical late-summer onshore flow suppressed stronger warming, keeping readings near the long-term August average high of roughly 75°F rather than allowing typical heat buildup. With resolution criteria tied to verified measurements, near-100% implied probability reflects traders' confidence in finalized records over model projections. Minor shifts could arise only from post hoc quality-control revisions or station-specific discrepancies, both rare for this timeframe.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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