Recent cooling from northwest advection of a fresher polar air mass has lowered Moscow's expected minimum on September 7, with official and model guidance pointing to overnight lows near 9°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and possible scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Historical September 7 averages hover around 9.5°C, but the current setup—lower dew points, 5–10 m/s northwest flow, and pressure rises—introduces variability that could push readings to 5–6°C if clearer breaks develop or keep them near 10°C under sustained cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh these short-term forecast uncertainties and the next model updates most heavily, as resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Moscow's primary stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 7?
9°C 36%
10°C 26.5%
6°C 26.2%
5°C 26.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
12%
8°C
22%
9°C
36%
10°C
27%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C or higher
1%
9°C 36%
10°C 26.5%
6°C 26.2%
5°C 26.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
3°C or below
$165 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$67 Vol.
26%
6°C
$57 Vol.
26%
7°C
$314 Vol.
12%
8°C
$395 Vol.
22%
9°C
$561 Vol.
36%
10°C
$57 Vol.
27%
11°C
$217 Vol.
1%
12°C
$357 Vol.
1%
13°C or higher
$197 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from northwest advection of a fresher polar air mass has lowered Moscow's expected minimum on September 7, with official and model guidance pointing to overnight lows near 9°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and possible scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Historical September 7 averages hover around 9.5°C, but the current setup—lower dew points, 5–10 m/s northwest flow, and pressure rises—introduces variability that could push readings to 5–6°C if clearer breaks develop or keep them near 10°C under sustained cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh these short-term forecast uncertainties and the next model updates most heavily, as resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Moscow's primary stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,564End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from northwest advection of a fresher polar air mass has lowered Moscow's expected minimum on September 7, with official and model guidance pointing to overnight lows near 9°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and possible scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Historical September 7 averages hover around 9.5°C, but the current setup—lower dew points, 5–10 m/s northwest flow, and pressure rises—introduces variability that could push readings to 5–6°C if clearer breaks develop or keep them near 10°C under sustained cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh these short-term forecast uncertainties and the next model updates most heavily, as resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Moscow's primary stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,564End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from northwest advection of a fresher polar air mass has lowered Moscow's expected minimum on September 7, with official and model guidance pointing to overnight lows near 9°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and possible scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Historical September 7 averages hover around 9.5°C, but the current setup—lower dew points, 5–10 m/s northwest flow, and pressure rises—introduces variability that could push readings to 5–6°C if clearer breaks develop or keep them near 10°C under sustained cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh these short-term forecast uncertainties and the next model updates most heavily, as resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Moscow's primary stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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