Recent European model runs point to overnight lows of 14–17°C in Munich on September 8, keeping the 14–17°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C, while light southwesterly winds limit advective warming. Model spread arises mainly from differences in low-level moisture and timing of any thin cloud increases, which can raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced longwave heat loss. With historical September 8 minima averaging near 11°C but recent years trending warmer, the current setup favors values near the middle of the distribution, though a late-night clearing or brief shower could shift the exact reading by resolution time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
17°C 49%
22°C or higher 37.6%
12°C or below 36%
14°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
36%
13°C
29%
14°C
30%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
38%
17°C 49%
22°C or higher 37.6%
12°C or below 36%
14°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
30%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs point to overnight lows of 14–17°C in Munich on September 8, keeping the 14–17°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C, while light southwesterly winds limit advective warming. Model spread arises mainly from differences in low-level moisture and timing of any thin cloud increases, which can raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced longwave heat loss. With historical September 8 minima averaging near 11°C but recent years trending warmer, the current setup favors values near the middle of the distribution, though a late-night clearing or brief shower could shift the exact reading by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs point to overnight lows of 14–17°C in Munich on September 8, keeping the 14–17°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C, while light southwesterly winds limit advective warming. Model spread arises mainly from differences in low-level moisture and timing of any thin cloud increases, which can raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced longwave heat loss. With historical September 8 minima averaging near 11°C but recent years trending warmer, the current setup favors values near the middle of the distribution, though a late-night clearing or brief shower could shift the exact reading by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model runs point to overnight lows of 14–17°C in Munich on September 8, keeping the 14–17°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C, while light southwesterly winds limit advective warming. Model spread arises mainly from differences in low-level moisture and timing of any thin cloud increases, which can raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced longwave heat loss. With historical September 8 minima averaging near 11°C but recent years trending warmer, the current setup favors values near the middle of the distribution, though a late-night clearing or brief shower could shift the exact reading by resolution time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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