**Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and supporting models indicate a nighttime low near 24°C for Tokyo on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight.** High humidity (often 70-85%) and light variable winds further moderate temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 23-25°C. Recent observations show overcast conditions with precipitation, which traders weigh against any potential clearing that could allow slightly lower readings around 22-23°C. Resolution will depend on official JMA station data for the daily minimum, with model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 23-24°C outcomes amid typical summer variability and no major frontal systems altering the pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
21°C or below 6.3%
22°C 5.1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$16,955 Vol.
$16,955 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
6%
22°C
22%
23°C
13%
24°C
60%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 6.3%
22°C 5.1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$16,955 Vol.
$16,955 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$1,232 Vol.
6%
22°C
$1,218 Vol.
22%
23°C
$1,665 Vol.
13%
24°C
$653 Vol.
60%
25°C
$1,781 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,940 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,407 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$824 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$873 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$156 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and supporting models indicate a nighttime low near 24°C for Tokyo on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight.** High humidity (often 70-85%) and light variable winds further moderate temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 23-25°C. Recent observations show overcast conditions with precipitation, which traders weigh against any potential clearing that could allow slightly lower readings around 22-23°C. Resolution will depend on official JMA station data for the daily minimum, with model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 23-24°C outcomes amid typical summer variability and no major frontal systems altering the pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,955End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and supporting models indicate a nighttime low near 24°C for Tokyo on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight.** High humidity (often 70-85%) and light variable winds further moderate temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 23-25°C. Recent observations show overcast conditions with precipitation, which traders weigh against any potential clearing that could allow slightly lower readings around 22-23°C. Resolution will depend on official JMA station data for the daily minimum, with model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 23-24°C outcomes amid typical summer variability and no major frontal systems altering the pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,955End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and supporting models indicate a nighttime low near 24°C for Tokyo on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight.** High humidity (often 70-85%) and light variable winds further moderate temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 23-25°C. Recent observations show overcast conditions with precipitation, which traders weigh against any potential clearing that could allow slightly lower readings around 22-23°C. Resolution will depend on official JMA station data for the daily minimum, with model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 23-24°C outcomes amid typical summer variability and no major frontal systems altering the pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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