Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak temperatures in Wuhan on August 28 around 35–37°C amid persistent late-summer heat in the Yangtze River basin, where subtropical highs, light winds, and high humidity sustain elevated readings. Trader consensus favoring 37°C reflects observed highs of 36–38°C in the preceding days and model consensus for minimal cooling before anticipated rain and typhoon-related flow shifts arrive near August 30. Official resolution will rely on verified maximums from central meteorological stations, with urban heat effects and diurnal patterns capable of nudging the exact peak across the narrow 36–38°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?
37°C 47%
36°C 23%
38°C 18%
35°C 6%
$13,050 Vol.
$13,050 Vol.
31°C or below
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
23%
37°C
47%
38°C
18%
39°C
5%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 47%
36°C 23%
38°C 18%
35°C 6%
$13,050 Vol.
$13,050 Vol.
31°C or below
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
23%
37°C
47%
38°C
18%
39°C
5%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak temperatures in Wuhan on August 28 around 35–37°C amid persistent late-summer heat in the Yangtze River basin, where subtropical highs, light winds, and high humidity sustain elevated readings. Trader consensus favoring 37°C reflects observed highs of 36–38°C in the preceding days and model consensus for minimal cooling before anticipated rain and typhoon-related flow shifts arrive near August 30. Official resolution will rely on verified maximums from central meteorological stations, with urban heat effects and diurnal patterns capable of nudging the exact peak across the narrow 36–38°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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