Forecast models indicate a transition to cooler, unsettled conditions over Amsterdam by August 28, driven by a strengthening southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic low-pressure system. This advects milder maritime air while increasing cloud cover and showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows in the 14–17°C range. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spreads arising from differences in frontal timing and precipitation intensity that modulate the minimum. Trader odds reflect this narrow uncertainty, favoring 15–17°C as the most probable outcomes based on current ECMWF and GFS runs, while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given the climatological baseline and observed synoptic evolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28?
19°C 78%
17°C 46%
15°C 43%
18°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
14%
14°C
41%
15°C
43%
16°C
37%
17°C
46%
18°C
42%
19°C
78%
20°C
13%
21°C
10%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 78%
17°C 46%
15°C 43%
18°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$32 Vol.
1%
13°C
$15 Vol.
14%
14°C
$26 Vol.
41%
15°C
$0 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
37%
17°C
$0 Vol.
46%
18°C
$0 Vol.
42%
19°C
$15 Vol.
78%
20°C
$10 Vol.
13%
21°C
$15 Vol.
10%
22°C or higher
$38 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a transition to cooler, unsettled conditions over Amsterdam by August 28, driven by a strengthening southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic low-pressure system. This advects milder maritime air while increasing cloud cover and showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows in the 14–17°C range. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spreads arising from differences in frontal timing and precipitation intensity that modulate the minimum. Trader odds reflect this narrow uncertainty, favoring 15–17°C as the most probable outcomes based on current ECMWF and GFS runs, while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given the climatological baseline and observed synoptic evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$151End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a transition to cooler, unsettled conditions over Amsterdam by August 28, driven by a strengthening southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic low-pressure system. This advects milder maritime air while increasing cloud cover and showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows in the 14–17°C range. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spreads arising from differences in frontal timing and precipitation intensity that modulate the minimum. Trader odds reflect this narrow uncertainty, favoring 15–17°C as the most probable outcomes based on current ECMWF and GFS runs, while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given the climatological baseline and observed synoptic evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$151End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate a transition to cooler, unsettled conditions over Amsterdam by August 28, driven by a strengthening southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic low-pressure system. This advects milder maritime air while increasing cloud cover and showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows in the 14–17°C range. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spreads arising from differences in frontal timing and precipitation intensity that modulate the minimum. Trader odds reflect this narrow uncertainty, favoring 15–17°C as the most probable outcomes based on current ECMWF and GFS runs, while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given the climatological baseline and observed synoptic evolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions