Forecast models from sources including the Global Forecast System and local observations indicate a minimum temperature of 11°C for Amsterdam on September 6, 2026, aligning with the historical average low of 11.7°C and driving the 99.5% market-implied odds. Partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1021 hPa have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by hourly data showing readings stabilizing around 11–14°C in the early morning hours. This consensus across multiple runs reduces uncertainty, though a sharper wind shift or unexpected clear-sky enhancement could allow a dip toward 10°C before sunrise. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like KNMI will provide final verification ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
11°C 99.9%
8°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
9°C <1%
$3,599 Vol.
$3,599 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
11°C 99.9%
8°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
9°C <1%
$3,599 Vol.
$3,599 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
8°C or below
$87 Vol.
1%
9°C
$87 Vol.
1%
10°C
$142 Vol.
1%
11°C
$684 Vol.
100%
12°C
$1,297 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$818 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Global Forecast System and local observations indicate a minimum temperature of 11°C for Amsterdam on September 6, 2026, aligning with the historical average low of 11.7°C and driving the 99.5% market-implied odds. Partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1021 hPa have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by hourly data showing readings stabilizing around 11–14°C in the early morning hours. This consensus across multiple runs reduces uncertainty, though a sharper wind shift or unexpected clear-sky enhancement could allow a dip toward 10°C before sunrise. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like KNMI will provide final verification ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$3,599End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Global Forecast System and local observations indicate a minimum temperature of 11°C for Amsterdam on September 6, 2026, aligning with the historical average low of 11.7°C and driving the 99.5% market-implied odds. Partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1021 hPa have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by hourly data showing readings stabilizing around 11–14°C in the early morning hours. This consensus across multiple runs reduces uncertainty, though a sharper wind shift or unexpected clear-sky enhancement could allow a dip toward 10°C before sunrise. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like KNMI will provide final verification ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,599End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Global Forecast System and local observations indicate a minimum temperature of 11°C for Amsterdam on September 6, 2026, aligning with the historical average low of 11.7°C and driving the 99.5% market-implied odds. Partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1021 hPa have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by hourly data showing readings stabilizing around 11–14°C in the early morning hours. This consensus across multiple runs reduces uncertainty, though a sharper wind shift or unexpected clear-sky enhancement could allow a dip toward 10°C before sunrise. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like KNMI will provide final verification ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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