Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 28 will likely fall in the 13–16 °C range, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air behind a weakening high-pressure system and increasing cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs supporting brief clearing that could allow readings near 12–13 °C while others keep skies partly cloudy, favoring 14–15 °C. This uncertainty, combined with the market's resolution criteria tied to official station observations, explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these central outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
14°C 45%
16°C 45%
15°C 44%
12°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
43%
13°C
42%
14°C
45%
15°C
44%
16°C
45%
17°C
18%
18°C
26%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 45%
16°C 45%
15°C 44%
12°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
$146 Vol.
2%
11°C
$136 Vol.
6%
12°C
$6 Vol.
43%
13°C
$0 Vol.
42%
14°C
$0 Vol.
45%
15°C
$0 Vol.
44%
16°C
$0 Vol.
45%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$15 Vol.
26%
19°C
$15 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 28 will likely fall in the 13–16 °C range, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air behind a weakening high-pressure system and increasing cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs supporting brief clearing that could allow readings near 12–13 °C while others keep skies partly cloudy, favoring 14–15 °C. This uncertainty, combined with the market's resolution criteria tied to official station observations, explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$353End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 28 will likely fall in the 13–16 °C range, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air behind a weakening high-pressure system and increasing cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs supporting brief clearing that could allow readings near 12–13 °C while others keep skies partly cloudy, favoring 14–15 °C. This uncertainty, combined with the market's resolution criteria tied to official station observations, explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$353End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 28 will likely fall in the 13–16 °C range, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air behind a weakening high-pressure system and increasing cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs supporting brief clearing that could allow readings near 12–13 °C while others keep skies partly cloudy, favoring 14–15 °C. This uncertainty, combined with the market's resolution criteria tied to official station observations, explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these central outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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