**Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains has sustained well-above-normal overnight lows across North Texas, driving the strong market consensus around an 80–81°F minimum for Dallas on September 6.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and dew points near 70°F, limiting radiational cooling and keeping temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—well above the 1991–2020 September normal of ~72°F. Recent observations, including a 79°F low on September 5 at DFW, reinforce this pattern amid a multi-week heat episode with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated stronger boundary or increased low-level moisture that enhances cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
80-81°F 95%
78-79°F 5%
74-75°F 4%
76-77°F 2%
$1,371 Vol.
$1,371 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
95%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 95%
78-79°F 5%
74-75°F 4%
76-77°F 2%
$1,371 Vol.
$1,371 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
69°F or below
$60 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$60 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$65 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$30 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$30 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$223 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$366 Vol.
95%
82-83°F
$322 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$50 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains has sustained well-above-normal overnight lows across North Texas, driving the strong market consensus around an 80–81°F minimum for Dallas on September 6.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and dew points near 70°F, limiting radiational cooling and keeping temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—well above the 1991–2020 September normal of ~72°F. Recent observations, including a 79°F low on September 5 at DFW, reinforce this pattern amid a multi-week heat episode with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated stronger boundary or increased low-level moisture that enhances cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,371End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains has sustained well-above-normal overnight lows across North Texas, driving the strong market consensus around an 80–81°F minimum for Dallas on September 6.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and dew points near 70°F, limiting radiational cooling and keeping temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—well above the 1991–2020 September normal of ~72°F. Recent observations, including a 79°F low on September 5 at DFW, reinforce this pattern amid a multi-week heat episode with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated stronger boundary or increased low-level moisture that enhances cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,371End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains has sustained well-above-normal overnight lows across North Texas, driving the strong market consensus around an 80–81°F minimum for Dallas on September 6.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and dew points near 70°F, limiting radiational cooling and keeping temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s—well above the 1991–2020 September normal of ~72°F. Recent observations, including a 79°F low on September 5 at DFW, reinforce this pattern amid a multi-week heat episode with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated stronger boundary or increased low-level moisture that enhances cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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