Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on September 7 points to a minimum near 80–84°F under continued clear skies, light southerly winds, and high dew points from Gulf moisture, sustaining elevated overnight temperatures without a frontal passage or significant radiational cooling. This aligns with recent days’ pattern of 76–80°F lows amid above-normal heat. The market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 78–83°F outcomes reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the daily minimum, while lower odds on sub-78°F or 84°F+ bins capture residual uncertainty in local urban heat island effects and any subtle wind shifts. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore how anomalous the current warm advection remains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 7?
80-81°F 45%
84-85°F 43%
74-75°F 42%
78-79°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
42%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
3%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 45%
84-85°F 43%
74-75°F 42%
78-79°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
71°F or below
$165 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
42%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
25%
78-79°F
$8 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$86 Vol.
41%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
26%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
43%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
3%
90°F or higher
$436 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on September 7 points to a minimum near 80–84°F under continued clear skies, light southerly winds, and high dew points from Gulf moisture, sustaining elevated overnight temperatures without a frontal passage or significant radiational cooling. This aligns with recent days’ pattern of 76–80°F lows amid above-normal heat. The market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 78–83°F outcomes reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the daily minimum, while lower odds on sub-78°F or 84°F+ bins capture residual uncertainty in local urban heat island effects and any subtle wind shifts. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore how anomalous the current warm advection remains.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$695End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on September 7 points to a minimum near 80–84°F under continued clear skies, light southerly winds, and high dew points from Gulf moisture, sustaining elevated overnight temperatures without a frontal passage or significant radiational cooling. This aligns with recent days’ pattern of 76–80°F lows amid above-normal heat. The market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 78–83°F outcomes reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the daily minimum, while lower odds on sub-78°F or 84°F+ bins capture residual uncertainty in local urban heat island effects and any subtle wind shifts. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore how anomalous the current warm advection remains.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$695End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on September 7 points to a minimum near 80–84°F under continued clear skies, light southerly winds, and high dew points from Gulf moisture, sustaining elevated overnight temperatures without a frontal passage or significant radiational cooling. This aligns with recent days’ pattern of 76–80°F lows amid above-normal heat. The market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 78–83°F outcomes reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the daily minimum, while lower odds on sub-78°F or 84°F+ bins capture residual uncertainty in local urban heat island effects and any subtle wind shifts. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore how anomalous the current warm advection remains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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