Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a shift toward sunnier periods and lighter west-southwest winds on August 28, following days of active southerly flow and scattered thunderstorms that have kept overnight lows near 27°C. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80-90%, with sea surface temperatures around 26-27°C limiting further drops. Model consensus points to a minimum near 27-28°C, as variable cloud cover and residual moisture from the trough could allow slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight, while persistent showers would trap heat closer to 28°C. Traders weigh these variables against typical late-August climatology of 26-27°C lows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
27°C 43%
28°C 38%
26°C 13%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
43%
28°C
38%
29°C
6%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 43%
28°C 38%
26°C 13%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$24 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$67 Vol.
1%
24°C
$29 Vol.
1%
25°C
$97 Vol.
5%
26°C
$78 Vol.
13%
27°C
$119 Vol.
43%
28°C
$140 Vol.
38%
29°C
$20 Vol.
6%
30°C
$79 Vol.
4%
31°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$24 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a shift toward sunnier periods and lighter west-southwest winds on August 28, following days of active southerly flow and scattered thunderstorms that have kept overnight lows near 27°C. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80-90%, with sea surface temperatures around 26-27°C limiting further drops. Model consensus points to a minimum near 27-28°C, as variable cloud cover and residual moisture from the trough could allow slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight, while persistent showers would trap heat closer to 28°C. Traders weigh these variables against typical late-August climatology of 26-27°C lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$704End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a shift toward sunnier periods and lighter west-southwest winds on August 28, following days of active southerly flow and scattered thunderstorms that have kept overnight lows near 27°C. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80-90%, with sea surface temperatures around 26-27°C limiting further drops. Model consensus points to a minimum near 27-28°C, as variable cloud cover and residual moisture from the trough could allow slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight, while persistent showers would trap heat closer to 28°C. Traders weigh these variables against typical late-August climatology of 26-27°C lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$704End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a shift toward sunnier periods and lighter west-southwest winds on August 28, following days of active southerly flow and scattered thunderstorms that have kept overnight lows near 27°C. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80-90%, with sea surface temperatures around 26-27°C limiting further drops. Model consensus points to a minimum near 27-28°C, as variable cloud cover and residual moisture from the trough could allow slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight, while persistent showers would trap heat closer to 28°C. Traders weigh these variables against typical late-August climatology of 26-27°C lows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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