Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 16–17°C for London on August 28, driven by southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent warmer-than-average August conditions have kept baseline temperatures elevated, but increasing cloudiness and a chance of showers overnight reduce the potential for sharper drops below 15°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 16°C (43.5%) and 17°C (36.5%) because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in these thresholds, with lower probabilities for 15°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts. New model runs and official updates overnight will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 28?
Lowest temperature in London on August 28?
16°C 43%
17°C 36%
15°C 14%
18°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
14%
16°C
43%
17°C
36%
18°C
10%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 43%
17°C 36%
15°C 14%
18°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
11°C or below
$77 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$29 Vol.
1%
13°C
$109 Vol.
1%
14°C
$165 Vol.
5%
15°C
$306 Vol.
14%
16°C
$470 Vol.
43%
17°C
$465 Vol.
36%
18°C
$245 Vol.
10%
19°C
$589 Vol.
2%
20°C
$86 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$101 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 16–17°C for London on August 28, driven by southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent warmer-than-average August conditions have kept baseline temperatures elevated, but increasing cloudiness and a chance of showers overnight reduce the potential for sharper drops below 15°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 16°C (43.5%) and 17°C (36.5%) because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in these thresholds, with lower probabilities for 15°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts. New model runs and official updates overnight will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,642End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 16–17°C for London on August 28, driven by southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent warmer-than-average August conditions have kept baseline temperatures elevated, but increasing cloudiness and a chance of showers overnight reduce the potential for sharper drops below 15°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 16°C (43.5%) and 17°C (36.5%) because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in these thresholds, with lower probabilities for 15°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts. New model runs and official updates overnight will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,642End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 16–17°C for London on August 28, driven by southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent warmer-than-average August conditions have kept baseline temperatures elevated, but increasing cloudiness and a chance of showers overnight reduce the potential for sharper drops below 15°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 16°C (43.5%) and 17°C (36.5%) because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in these thresholds, with lower probabilities for 15°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts. New model runs and official updates overnight will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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