**Forecast models and official guidance indicate a Friday minimum around 16–17°C for London on August 28, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (17°C at 39.5%, 16°C at 35.5%).** The Met Office projects a nighttime low of 17°C, with hourly guidance showing early-morning readings near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwest winds of 10–15 mph. Other ensembles place the minimum slightly lower near 15.5–16°C, reflecting minor differences in how much radiative cooling occurs overnight after Thursday’s thundery activity. Key scientific drivers include the advection of cooler maritime air behind the frontal system, increased cloud cover that limits longwave radiative loss, and sustained winds that mix the boundary layer and suppress surface cooling. Dew points in the mid-teens Celsius further constrain how low temperatures can fall. Small variations in cloud breaks or wind timing between model runs explain the tight spread between 16°C and 17°C, while lower-probability outcomes (15°C or below) would require clearer skies and lighter winds than currently expected. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 28?
Lowest temperature in London on August 28?
17°C 38%
16°C 36%
15°C 11%
18°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
11%
16°C
36%
17°C
28%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 38%
16°C 36%
15°C 11%
18°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
11°C or below
$77 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$29 Vol.
1%
13°C
$109 Vol.
3%
14°C
$157 Vol.
5%
15°C
$126 Vol.
11%
16°C
$333 Vol.
36%
17°C
$420 Vol.
28%
18°C
$245 Vol.
7%
19°C
$569 Vol.
3%
20°C
$86 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$101 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance indicate a Friday minimum around 16–17°C for London on August 28, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (17°C at 39.5%, 16°C at 35.5%).**
The Met Office projects a nighttime low of 17°C, with hourly guidance showing early-morning readings near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwest winds of 10–15 mph. Other ensembles place the minimum slightly lower near 15.5–16°C, reflecting minor differences in how much radiative cooling occurs overnight after Thursday’s thundery activity.
Key scientific drivers include the advection of cooler maritime air behind the frontal system, increased cloud cover that limits longwave radiative loss, and sustained winds that mix the boundary layer and suppress surface cooling. Dew points in the mid-teens Celsius further constrain how low temperatures can fall. Small variations in cloud breaks or wind timing between model runs explain the tight spread between 16°C and 17°C, while lower-probability outcomes (15°C or below) would require clearer skies and lighter winds than currently expected. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,251End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance indicate a Friday minimum around 16–17°C for London on August 28, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (17°C at 39.5%, 16°C at 35.5%).**
The Met Office projects a nighttime low of 17°C, with hourly guidance showing early-morning readings near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwest winds of 10–15 mph. Other ensembles place the minimum slightly lower near 15.5–16°C, reflecting minor differences in how much radiative cooling occurs overnight after Thursday’s thundery activity.
Key scientific drivers include the advection of cooler maritime air behind the frontal system, increased cloud cover that limits longwave radiative loss, and sustained winds that mix the boundary layer and suppress surface cooling. Dew points in the mid-teens Celsius further constrain how low temperatures can fall. Small variations in cloud breaks or wind timing between model runs explain the tight spread between 16°C and 17°C, while lower-probability outcomes (15°C or below) would require clearer skies and lighter winds than currently expected. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,251End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance indicate a Friday minimum around 16–17°C for London on August 28, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (17°C at 39.5%, 16°C at 35.5%).** The Met Office projects a nighttime low of 17°C, with hourly guidance showing early-morning readings near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwest winds of 10–15 mph. Other ensembles place the minimum slightly lower near 15.5–16°C, reflecting minor differences in how much radiative cooling occurs overnight after Thursday’s thundery activity. Key scientific drivers include the advection of cooler maritime air behind the frontal system, increased cloud cover that limits longwave radiative loss, and sustained winds that mix the boundary layer and suppress surface cooling. Dew points in the mid-teens Celsius further constrain how low temperatures can fall. Small variations in cloud breaks or wind timing between model runs explain the tight spread between 16°C and 17°C, while lower-probability outcomes (15°C or below) would require clearer skies and lighter winds than currently expected. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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