Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate an overnight minimum of 16–17°C in London on 28 August, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow, moderate southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Thunderstorms and heavy rain on 27 August have given way to clearer intervals, but lingering humidity and a 30–45% chance of showers keep the surface layer from dropping sharply. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, yet the current warmer, more humid airmass and lack of clear anticyclonic conditions support the market's tight 16°C (42.5%) versus 17°C (36%) split. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether localized clear spells push the low toward 15°C or hold it at 16–17°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 28?
Lowest temperature in London on August 28?
16°C 42%
17°C 37%
15°C 15%
18°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
15%
16°C
42%
17°C
37%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 42%
17°C 37%
15°C 15%
18°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
11°C or below
$77 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$29 Vol.
1%
13°C
$109 Vol.
1%
14°C
$157 Vol.
5%
15°C
$137 Vol.
15%
16°C
$465 Vol.
42%
17°C
$465 Vol.
37%
18°C
$245 Vol.
9%
19°C
$589 Vol.
1%
20°C
$86 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$101 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate an overnight minimum of 16–17°C in London on 28 August, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow, moderate southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Thunderstorms and heavy rain on 27 August have given way to clearer intervals, but lingering humidity and a 30–45% chance of showers keep the surface layer from dropping sharply. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, yet the current warmer, more humid airmass and lack of clear anticyclonic conditions support the market's tight 16°C (42.5%) versus 17°C (36%) split. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether localized clear spells push the low toward 15°C or hold it at 16–17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,459End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate an overnight minimum of 16–17°C in London on 28 August, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow, moderate southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Thunderstorms and heavy rain on 27 August have given way to clearer intervals, but lingering humidity and a 30–45% chance of showers keep the surface layer from dropping sharply. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, yet the current warmer, more humid airmass and lack of clear anticyclonic conditions support the market's tight 16°C (42.5%) versus 17°C (36%) split. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether localized clear spells push the low toward 15°C or hold it at 16–17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,459End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate an overnight minimum of 16–17°C in London on 28 August, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow, moderate southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Thunderstorms and heavy rain on 27 August have given way to clearer intervals, but lingering humidity and a 30–45% chance of showers keep the surface layer from dropping sharply. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, yet the current warmer, more humid airmass and lack of clear anticyclonic conditions support the market's tight 16°C (42.5%) versus 17°C (36%) split. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether localized clear spells push the low toward 15°C or hold it at 16–17°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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