Recent IMD forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 28 amid generally cloudy skies and light rain or thundershowers linked to the active monsoon trough across Uttar Pradesh. Persistent high humidity near 80-90% and widespread cloud cover are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, sustaining overnight lows close to recent observations of 27°C. Ensemble model outputs and private forecasts cluster between 26-28°C, with small differences hinging on exact timing and intensity of any evening showers versus partial clearing that could allow slightly greater heat loss. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific spread, as even modest shifts in cloud thickness or localized rainfall could tip the recorded minimum between the closely matched leading outcomes. Updated IMD guidance and model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 28?
27°C 48%
26°C 42%
25°C 29%
28°C 29%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
42%
27°C
48%
28°C
29%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 48%
26°C 42%
25°C 29%
28°C 29%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
42%
27°C
48%
28°C
29%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent IMD forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 28 amid generally cloudy skies and light rain or thundershowers linked to the active monsoon trough across Uttar Pradesh. Persistent high humidity near 80-90% and widespread cloud cover are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, sustaining overnight lows close to recent observations of 27°C. Ensemble model outputs and private forecasts cluster between 26-28°C, with small differences hinging on exact timing and intensity of any evening showers versus partial clearing that could allow slightly greater heat loss. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific spread, as even modest shifts in cloud thickness or localized rainfall could tip the recorded minimum between the closely matched leading outcomes. Updated IMD guidance and model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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