**Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have kept overnight cooling limited across the Milan area, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20°C on September 6.** Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local meteorological guidance, show daytime highs reaching 32–34°C before temperatures fall gradually to 23–24°C in the pre-dawn hours under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 20°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on the measured low from authoritative stations. Realistic challenges to this level would require either increased nocturnal cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling or an unforecasted shift in the steering pattern bringing cooler air from the Alps—developments not currently indicated in the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 6?
20°C 99.8%
18°C or below 2%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$1,680 Vol.
$1,680 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.8%
18°C or below 2%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$1,680 Vol.
$1,680 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
$25 Vol.
2%
19°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$962 Vol.
100%
21°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have kept overnight cooling limited across the Milan area, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20°C on September 6.** Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local meteorological guidance, show daytime highs reaching 32–34°C before temperatures fall gradually to 23–24°C in the pre-dawn hours under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 20°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on the measured low from authoritative stations. Realistic challenges to this level would require either increased nocturnal cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling or an unforecasted shift in the steering pattern bringing cooler air from the Alps—developments not currently indicated in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,680End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have kept overnight cooling limited across the Milan area, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20°C on September 6.** Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local meteorological guidance, show daytime highs reaching 32–34°C before temperatures fall gradually to 23–24°C in the pre-dawn hours under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 20°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on the measured low from authoritative stations. Realistic challenges to this level would require either increased nocturnal cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling or an unforecasted shift in the steering pattern bringing cooler air from the Alps—developments not currently indicated in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,680End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have kept overnight cooling limited across the Milan area, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20°C on September 6.** Official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local meteorological guidance, show daytime highs reaching 32–34°C before temperatures fall gradually to 23–24°C in the pre-dawn hours under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 20°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on the measured low from authoritative stations. Realistic challenges to this level would require either increased nocturnal cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling or an unforecasted shift in the steering pattern bringing cooler air from the Alps—developments not currently indicated in the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions