**Current short-range forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Milan’s September 8 minimum near 21–22 °C under continued high pressure and mostly clear skies, though overnight radiative cooling could allow slightly lower readings if winds remain light.** A developing trough and associated frontal passage on September 9 is already introducing modest uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture for the preceding night, which helps explain why lower bins (18 °C or below) still command substantial market-implied odds. Dew-point depressions, wind direction shifts between northeasterly and southerly flows, and the exact timing of any thin cloud cover will determine whether the daily low settles closer to the 20–22 °C cluster or dips further. Historical September minima average around 16 °C, but the ongoing late-summer warmth has kept recent baselines elevated; the next 24–48 hours of model runs and observational updates will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 8?
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
18°C or below 35.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
36%
19°C
49%
20°C
30%
21°C
29%
22°C
25%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
18°C or below 35.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
36%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
30%
21°C
$0 Vol.
29%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$6 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$6 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Milan’s September 8 minimum near 21–22 °C under continued high pressure and mostly clear skies, though overnight radiative cooling could allow slightly lower readings if winds remain light.**
A developing trough and associated frontal passage on September 9 is already introducing modest uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture for the preceding night, which helps explain why lower bins (18 °C or below) still command substantial market-implied odds. Dew-point depressions, wind direction shifts between northeasterly and southerly flows, and the exact timing of any thin cloud cover will determine whether the daily low settles closer to the 20–22 °C cluster or dips further. Historical September minima average around 16 °C, but the ongoing late-summer warmth has kept recent baselines elevated; the next 24–48 hours of model runs and observational updates will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Milan’s September 8 minimum near 21–22 °C under continued high pressure and mostly clear skies, though overnight radiative cooling could allow slightly lower readings if winds remain light.**
A developing trough and associated frontal passage on September 9 is already introducing modest uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture for the preceding night, which helps explain why lower bins (18 °C or below) still command substantial market-implied odds. Dew-point depressions, wind direction shifts between northeasterly and southerly flows, and the exact timing of any thin cloud cover will determine whether the daily low settles closer to the 20–22 °C cluster or dips further. Historical September minima average around 16 °C, but the ongoing late-summer warmth has kept recent baselines elevated; the next 24–48 hours of model runs and observational updates will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Milan’s September 8 minimum near 21–22 °C under continued high pressure and mostly clear skies, though overnight radiative cooling could allow slightly lower readings if winds remain light.** A developing trough and associated frontal passage on September 9 is already introducing modest uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture for the preceding night, which helps explain why lower bins (18 °C or below) still command substantial market-implied odds. Dew-point depressions, wind direction shifts between northeasterly and southerly flows, and the exact timing of any thin cloud cover will determine whether the daily low settles closer to the 20–22 °C cluster or dips further. Historical September minima average around 16 °C, but the ongoing late-summer warmth has kept recent baselines elevated; the next 24–48 hours of model runs and observational updates will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions