Latest forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated through September 6, indicate a daytime high in Milan on September 8 most likely peaking at 32–33°C under high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly clear skies that support strong solar heating in the Po Valley. Afternoon temperatures are expected to climb steadily before possible late-day cloud increases or light showers introduce minor cooling. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where highs commonly reach the low 30s Celsius. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 32°C as the modal outcome, with 31°C and 33°C as close alternatives, as new model guidance or observational adjustments could still shift the precise maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 8?
32°C 45%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
45%
33°C
18%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
28°C or below
$63 Vol.
1%
29°C
$62 Vol.
4%
30°C
$58 Vol.
6%
31°C
$847 Vol.
26%
32°C
$342 Vol.
45%
33°C
$34 Vol.
18%
34°C
$13 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
3%
36°C
$0 Vol.
1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated through September 6, indicate a daytime high in Milan on September 8 most likely peaking at 32–33°C under high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly clear skies that support strong solar heating in the Po Valley. Afternoon temperatures are expected to climb steadily before possible late-day cloud increases or light showers introduce minor cooling. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where highs commonly reach the low 30s Celsius. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 32°C as the modal outcome, with 31°C and 33°C as close alternatives, as new model guidance or observational adjustments could still shift the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,533End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated through September 6, indicate a daytime high in Milan on September 8 most likely peaking at 32–33°C under high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly clear skies that support strong solar heating in the Po Valley. Afternoon temperatures are expected to climb steadily before possible late-day cloud increases or light showers introduce minor cooling. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where highs commonly reach the low 30s Celsius. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 32°C as the modal outcome, with 31°C and 33°C as close alternatives, as new model guidance or observational adjustments could still shift the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,533End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated through September 6, indicate a daytime high in Milan on September 8 most likely peaking at 32–33°C under high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly clear skies that support strong solar heating in the Po Valley. Afternoon temperatures are expected to climb steadily before possible late-day cloud increases or light showers introduce minor cooling. These conditions align with early September climatology for the region, where highs commonly reach the low 30s Celsius. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 32°C as the modal outcome, with 31°C and 33°C as close alternatives, as new model guidance or observational adjustments could still shift the precise maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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