Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from European meteorological centers indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover expected to support a daily maximum near 32–33 °C in Milan on September 7. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show daytime highs of 33–34 °C under similar synoptic conditions, while the latest short-range guidance has trended slightly cooler, narrowing the most probable range to 31–32 °C. These data shifts explain the heavy market weighting toward 32 °C (63.5 %) and 31 °C (27.0 %), with only modest probability assigned to 33 °C. Final resolution will depend on the official station reading at Milano Linate or the designated Milan reference site, with the last model updates due overnight before the peak heating period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 7?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 7?
32°C 67%
31°C 27%
33°C 6%
30°C 3%
NEW
$10,242 Vol.
NEW
$10,242 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
27%
32°C
67%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 67%
31°C 27%
33°C 6%
30°C 3%
NEW
$10,242 Vol.
NEW
$10,242 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
28°C or below
$1,732 Vol.
1%
29°C
$382 Vol.
1%
30°C
$532 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,703 Vol.
27%
32°C
$2,040 Vol.
67%
33°C
$479 Vol.
6%
34°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$364 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$382 Vol.
1%
37°C
$718 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,729 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from European meteorological centers indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover expected to support a daily maximum near 32–33 °C in Milan on September 7. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show daytime highs of 33–34 °C under similar synoptic conditions, while the latest short-range guidance has trended slightly cooler, narrowing the most probable range to 31–32 °C. These data shifts explain the heavy market weighting toward 32 °C (63.5 %) and 31 °C (27.0 %), with only modest probability assigned to 33 °C. Final resolution will depend on the official station reading at Milano Linate or the designated Milan reference site, with the last model updates due overnight before the peak heating period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,242End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from European meteorological centers indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover expected to support a daily maximum near 32–33 °C in Milan on September 7. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show daytime highs of 33–34 °C under similar synoptic conditions, while the latest short-range guidance has trended slightly cooler, narrowing the most probable range to 31–32 °C. These data shifts explain the heavy market weighting toward 32 °C (63.5 %) and 31 °C (27.0 %), with only modest probability assigned to 33 °C. Final resolution will depend on the official station reading at Milano Linate or the designated Milan reference site, with the last model updates due overnight before the peak heating period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,242End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from European meteorological centers indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover expected to support a daily maximum near 32–33 °C in Milan on September 7. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show daytime highs of 33–34 °C under similar synoptic conditions, while the latest short-range guidance has trended slightly cooler, narrowing the most probable range to 31–32 °C. These data shifts explain the heavy market weighting toward 32 °C (63.5 %) and 31 °C (27.0 %), with only modest probability assigned to 33 °C. Final resolution will depend on the official station reading at Milano Linate or the designated Milan reference site, with the last model updates due overnight before the peak heating period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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