**Clear, stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover across the Po Valley have driven Milan’s daytime maximum to 32°C on September 6, 2026, producing the near-certain market-implied outcome.** Official forecasts from regional meteorological services and real-time observations consistently show afternoon peaks of 32–34 °C under sunny skies, light easterly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the 99.9 % consensus for exactly 32 °C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National and regional model runs that converged on this narrow range well before the daily maximum was recorded. Only an unexpected late-day measurement revision at the official Milan station—such as a localized cooling effect or instrument calibration difference—could realistically shift the recorded high outside the dominant bin, though current data make such adjustments improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 6?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 6?
32°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$31,730 Vol.
$31,730 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$31,730 Vol.
$31,730 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
$1,691 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,140 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,151 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,566 Vol.
100%
33°C
$3,885 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,572 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,398 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$543 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear, stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover across the Po Valley have driven Milan’s daytime maximum to 32°C on September 6, 2026, producing the near-certain market-implied outcome.** Official forecasts from regional meteorological services and real-time observations consistently show afternoon peaks of 32–34 °C under sunny skies, light easterly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the 99.9 % consensus for exactly 32 °C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National and regional model runs that converged on this narrow range well before the daily maximum was recorded. Only an unexpected late-day measurement revision at the official Milan station—such as a localized cooling effect or instrument calibration difference—could realistically shift the recorded high outside the dominant bin, though current data make such adjustments improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$31,730End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear, stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover across the Po Valley have driven Milan’s daytime maximum to 32°C on September 6, 2026, producing the near-certain market-implied outcome.** Official forecasts from regional meteorological services and real-time observations consistently show afternoon peaks of 32–34 °C under sunny skies, light easterly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the 99.9 % consensus for exactly 32 °C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National and regional model runs that converged on this narrow range well before the daily maximum was recorded. Only an unexpected late-day measurement revision at the official Milan station—such as a localized cooling effect or instrument calibration difference—could realistically shift the recorded high outside the dominant bin, though current data make such adjustments improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,730End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear, stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover across the Po Valley have driven Milan’s daytime maximum to 32°C on September 6, 2026, producing the near-certain market-implied outcome.** Official forecasts from regional meteorological services and real-time observations consistently show afternoon peaks of 32–34 °C under sunny skies, light easterly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the 99.9 % consensus for exactly 32 °C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National and regional model runs that converged on this narrow range well before the daily maximum was recorded. Only an unexpected late-day measurement revision at the official Milan station—such as a localized cooling effect or instrument calibration difference—could realistically shift the recorded high outside the dominant bin, though current data make such adjustments improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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