Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low near 21–22°C in Milan on September 7 under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 19–22°C. Clear conditions promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds and moderate humidity limit mixing with warmer air aloft. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in residual cloud cover or boundary-layer wind speed, which could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows near 16°C, but the current warm air mass and urban heat island effect keep readings elevated. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 7?
18°C 50%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
17°C or below
8%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
35%
21°C
29%
22°C
28%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
2%
18°C 50%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
35%
21°C
$0 Vol.
29%
22°C
$0 Vol.
28%
23°C
$0 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$20 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low near 21–22°C in Milan on September 7 under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 19–22°C. Clear conditions promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds and moderate humidity limit mixing with warmer air aloft. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in residual cloud cover or boundary-layer wind speed, which could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows near 16°C, but the current warm air mass and urban heat island effect keep readings elevated. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low near 21–22°C in Milan on September 7 under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 19–22°C. Clear conditions promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds and moderate humidity limit mixing with warmer air aloft. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in residual cloud cover or boundary-layer wind speed, which could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows near 16°C, but the current warm air mass and urban heat island effect keep readings elevated. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low near 21–22°C in Milan on September 7 under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 19–22°C. Clear conditions promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds and moderate humidity limit mixing with warmer air aloft. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in residual cloud cover or boundary-layer wind speed, which could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows near 16°C, but the current warm air mass and urban heat island effect keep readings elevated. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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