Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Qingdao’s minimum temperature on August 28 will likely fall between 24–26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and moderating coastal influence that prevents significant overnight cooling. Model consensus points to partly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered showers possible but limited impact on the diurnal minimum, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 22 °C yet current patterns sustain warmer readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise resolution thresholds, as small shifts in steering flow, boundary-layer moisture, or localized urban effects could nudge the overnight low across these boundaries before official observations finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
27°C 84%
25°C 45%
24°C 44%
26°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
26%
24°C
44%
25°C
45%
26°C
43%
27°C
84%
28°C
8%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
32%
27°C 84%
25°C 45%
24°C 44%
26°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$85 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$0 Vol.
43%
27°C
$15 Vol.
84%
28°C
$42 Vol.
8%
29°C
$15 Vol.
16%
30°C or higher
$15 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Qingdao’s minimum temperature on August 28 will likely fall between 24–26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and moderating coastal influence that prevents significant overnight cooling. Model consensus points to partly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered showers possible but limited impact on the diurnal minimum, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 22 °C yet current patterns sustain warmer readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise resolution thresholds, as small shifts in steering flow, boundary-layer moisture, or localized urban effects could nudge the overnight low across these boundaries before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$173End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Qingdao’s minimum temperature on August 28 will likely fall between 24–26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and moderating coastal influence that prevents significant overnight cooling. Model consensus points to partly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered showers possible but limited impact on the diurnal minimum, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 22 °C yet current patterns sustain warmer readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise resolution thresholds, as small shifts in steering flow, boundary-layer moisture, or localized urban effects could nudge the overnight low across these boundaries before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$173End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Qingdao’s minimum temperature on August 28 will likely fall between 24–26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and moderating coastal influence that prevents significant overnight cooling. Model consensus points to partly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered showers possible but limited impact on the diurnal minimum, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 22 °C yet current patterns sustain warmer readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise resolution thresholds, as small shifts in steering flow, boundary-layer moisture, or localized urban effects could nudge the overnight low across these boundaries before official observations finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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