**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 28, 2026, centers on 24–26°C, with 25°C holding a slim lead at 50.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration analogs, Met Office, and WeatherBug consistently project an overnight low near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. Persistent high humidity (often 80–90%) and cloud cover limit radiative cooling, keeping minima elevated compared to clearer nights. Late-August climatology in the region features weakening monsoon influences and typical highs near 29–31°C, but recent model runs show stable steering patterns and light easterly or southeasterly flow that favor gradual cooling without sharp drops. No major typhoon or cold-air intrusion is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the tight clustering around 25°C. Upcoming official updates from Incheon International Airport observations and refined numerical weather prediction runs (e.g., within the next 24 hours) could shift probabilities if precipitation timing or cloud persistence changes. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these forecast details rather than a guarantee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 28?
25°C 51%
26°C 23%
24°C 21%
23°C 5%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
21%
25°C
51%
26°C
23%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 51%
26°C 23%
24°C 21%
23°C 5%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
21%
25°C
51%
26°C
23%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 28, 2026, centers on 24–26°C, with 25°C holding a slim lead at 50.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration analogs, Met Office, and WeatherBug consistently project an overnight low near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. Persistent high humidity (often 80–90%) and cloud cover limit radiative cooling, keeping minima elevated compared to clearer nights. Late-August climatology in the region features weakening monsoon influences and typical highs near 29–31°C, but recent model runs show stable steering patterns and light easterly or southeasterly flow that favor gradual cooling without sharp drops. No major typhoon or cold-air intrusion is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the tight clustering around 25°C. Upcoming official updates from Incheon International Airport observations and refined numerical weather prediction runs (e.g., within the next 24 hours) could shift probabilities if precipitation timing or cloud persistence changes. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these forecast details rather than a guarantee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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