Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate persistent overcast skies with light rain or drizzle across Beijing on August 27, limiting solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 30–31 °C. High humidity near 80 % combined with light variable winds and a moist air mass associated with regional frontal activity further suppresses peak temperatures relative to clear-sky August climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30 °C and 31 °C, with lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C reflecting modest remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
31°C 35%
30°C 29%
29°C 13%
32°C 13%
NEW
$32,480 Vol.
NEW
$32,480 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
29%
31°C
35%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 29%
29°C 13%
32°C 13%
NEW
$32,480 Vol.
NEW
$32,480 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$4,967 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,486 Vol.
1%
27°C
$4,887 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,876 Vol.
6%
29°C
$2,891 Vol.
13%
30°C
$2,443 Vol.
29%
31°C
$3,028 Vol.
35%
32°C
$1,084 Vol.
13%
33°C
$1,120 Vol.
4%
34°C
$2,470 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$2,229 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate persistent overcast skies with light rain or drizzle across Beijing on August 27, limiting solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 30–31 °C. High humidity near 80 % combined with light variable winds and a moist air mass associated with regional frontal activity further suppresses peak temperatures relative to clear-sky August climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30 °C and 31 °C, with lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C reflecting modest remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$32,480End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate persistent overcast skies with light rain or drizzle across Beijing on August 27, limiting solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 30–31 °C. High humidity near 80 % combined with light variable winds and a moist air mass associated with regional frontal activity further suppresses peak temperatures relative to clear-sky August climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30 °C and 31 °C, with lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C reflecting modest remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,480End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate persistent overcast skies with light rain or drizzle across Beijing on August 27, limiting solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 30–31 °C. High humidity near 80 % combined with light variable winds and a moist air mass associated with regional frontal activity further suppresses peak temperatures relative to clear-sky August climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30 °C and 31 °C, with lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C reflecting modest remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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