Recent official forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate mostly clear, sunny conditions for Madrid on August 28 following Thursday’s rain and cloud cover, with light southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup positions the daily maximum near 25–27 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 26 °C (34 %) and 27 °C (44.5 %). Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread because the post-frontal airmass remains cooler than the late-August climatological average of ~30.6 °C; no strong subsidence or warm advection is expected to push readings to 28 °C or above before sunset. Updated model runs and AEMET’s next briefing will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of that narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
27°C 44%
26°C 34%
28°C 17%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
34%
27°C
44%
28°C
17%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 34%
28°C 17%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$247 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$363 Vol.
1%
25°C
$598 Vol.
6%
26°C
$2,421 Vol.
34%
27°C
$1,973 Vol.
44%
28°C
$1,003 Vol.
17%
29°C
$389 Vol.
3%
30°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$469 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate mostly clear, sunny conditions for Madrid on August 28 following Thursday’s rain and cloud cover, with light southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup positions the daily maximum near 25–27 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 26 °C (34 %) and 27 °C (44.5 %). Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread because the post-frontal airmass remains cooler than the late-August climatological average of ~30.6 °C; no strong subsidence or warm advection is expected to push readings to 28 °C or above before sunset. Updated model runs and AEMET’s next briefing will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,287End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate mostly clear, sunny conditions for Madrid on August 28 following Thursday’s rain and cloud cover, with light southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup positions the daily maximum near 25–27 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 26 °C (34 %) and 27 °C (44.5 %). Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread because the post-frontal airmass remains cooler than the late-August climatological average of ~30.6 °C; no strong subsidence or warm advection is expected to push readings to 28 °C or above before sunset. Updated model runs and AEMET’s next briefing will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,287End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate mostly clear, sunny conditions for Madrid on August 28 following Thursday’s rain and cloud cover, with light southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating. This setup positions the daily maximum near 25–27 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 26 °C (34 %) and 27 °C (44.5 %). Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread because the post-frontal airmass remains cooler than the late-August climatological average of ~30.6 °C; no strong subsidence or warm advection is expected to push readings to 28 °C or above before sunset. Updated model runs and AEMET’s next briefing will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of that narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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