Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C for Manila’s highest temperature on August 28 amid active southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow, with heavy showers and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Model spreads arise from differences in convective timing and rainfall intensity, while Manila’s urban heat island may elevate readings at some sites relative to the official station. Final PAGASA observations will resolve the market as conditions evolve through the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 28?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 28?
30°C 31%
29°C 27%
31°C 12%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
27%
30°C
31%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 31%
29°C 27%
31°C 12%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69 Vol.
2%
27°C
$156 Vol.
6%
28°C
$1,257 Vol.
10%
29°C
$1,597 Vol.
27%
30°C
$75 Vol.
31%
31°C
$219 Vol.
12%
32°C
$151 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$165 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C for Manila’s highest temperature on August 28 amid active southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow, with heavy showers and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Model spreads arise from differences in convective timing and rainfall intensity, while Manila’s urban heat island may elevate readings at some sites relative to the official station. Final PAGASA observations will resolve the market as conditions evolve through the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,316End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C for Manila’s highest temperature on August 28 amid active southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow, with heavy showers and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Model spreads arise from differences in convective timing and rainfall intensity, while Manila’s urban heat island may elevate readings at some sites relative to the official station. Final PAGASA observations will resolve the market as conditions evolve through the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,316End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C for Manila’s highest temperature on August 28 amid active southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow, with heavy showers and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Model spreads arise from differences in convective timing and rainfall intensity, while Manila’s urban heat island may elevate readings at some sites relative to the official station. Final PAGASA observations will resolve the market as conditions evolve through the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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