Recent official forecasts for Qingdao indicate a partly cloudy day on August 28 with scattered thunderstorms possible, supporting peak temperatures centered on 30–32 °C. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to limit extreme heating, while model consensus from sources such as the Met Office (32 °C) and regional outlooks (28–30 °C) reflects modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover and storm timing. Historical late-August baselines near 29 °C further anchor trader sentiment around these values, with probabilities for 31 °C and 30 °C highest because current guidance clusters there. Updated model runs through August 27 show stable steering patterns without major shifts that would favor 33 °C or higher outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 20%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
26%
31°C
37%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 20%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
26°C
$91 Vol.
1%
27°C
$275 Vol.
2%
28°C
$355 Vol.
3%
29°C
$586 Vol.
11%
30°C
$486 Vol.
26%
31°C
$813 Vol.
37%
32°C
$447 Vol.
20%
33°C
$14 Vol.
4%
34°C
$42 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Qingdao indicate a partly cloudy day on August 28 with scattered thunderstorms possible, supporting peak temperatures centered on 30–32 °C. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to limit extreme heating, while model consensus from sources such as the Met Office (32 °C) and regional outlooks (28–30 °C) reflects modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover and storm timing. Historical late-August baselines near 29 °C further anchor trader sentiment around these values, with probabilities for 31 °C and 30 °C highest because current guidance clusters there. Updated model runs through August 27 show stable steering patterns without major shifts that would favor 33 °C or higher outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,118End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Qingdao indicate a partly cloudy day on August 28 with scattered thunderstorms possible, supporting peak temperatures centered on 30–32 °C. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to limit extreme heating, while model consensus from sources such as the Met Office (32 °C) and regional outlooks (28–30 °C) reflects modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover and storm timing. Historical late-August baselines near 29 °C further anchor trader sentiment around these values, with probabilities for 31 °C and 30 °C highest because current guidance clusters there. Updated model runs through August 27 show stable steering patterns without major shifts that would favor 33 °C or higher outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,118End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Qingdao indicate a partly cloudy day on August 28 with scattered thunderstorms possible, supporting peak temperatures centered on 30–32 °C. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to limit extreme heating, while model consensus from sources such as the Met Office (32 °C) and regional outlooks (28–30 °C) reflects modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover and storm timing. Historical late-August baselines near 29 °C further anchor trader sentiment around these values, with probabilities for 31 °C and 30 °C highest because current guidance clusters there. Updated model runs through August 27 show stable steering patterns without major shifts that would favor 33 °C or higher outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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