**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) for August 28 point to a daytime high of 28–35 °C under mostly cloudy skies with brief showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 34–36 °C.** Recent typhoon activity (notably Typhoon Shadel/#18) has increased cloud cover and moisture across northern Taiwan, moderating peak solar heating while southwest flow and possible outer-band effects introduce uncertainty in timing and intensity of any rain. Afternoon convection typical for late-summer Taipei can suppress temperatures if showers develop early, or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of the forecast range. Model guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups support the current implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on updated CWA guidance and real-time observations of cloud breaks before the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 28?
35°C 31%
34°C 23%
36°C 23%
37°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
23%
35°C
31%
36°C
23%
37°C
12%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 31%
34°C 23%
36°C 23%
37°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
29°C or below
$45 Vol.
1%
30°C
$46 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,029 Vol.
2%
32°C
$412 Vol.
3%
33°C
$170 Vol.
9%
34°C
$589 Vol.
23%
35°C
$531 Vol.
31%
36°C
$138 Vol.
23%
37°C
$144 Vol.
12%
38°C
$82 Vol.
4%
39°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) for August 28 point to a daytime high of 28–35 °C under mostly cloudy skies with brief showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 34–36 °C.**
Recent typhoon activity (notably Typhoon Shadel/#18) has increased cloud cover and moisture across northern Taiwan, moderating peak solar heating while southwest flow and possible outer-band effects introduce uncertainty in timing and intensity of any rain. Afternoon convection typical for late-summer Taipei can suppress temperatures if showers develop early, or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of the forecast range. Model guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups support the current implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on updated CWA guidance and real-time observations of cloud breaks before the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,190End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) for August 28 point to a daytime high of 28–35 °C under mostly cloudy skies with brief showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 34–36 °C.**
Recent typhoon activity (notably Typhoon Shadel/#18) has increased cloud cover and moisture across northern Taiwan, moderating peak solar heating while southwest flow and possible outer-band effects introduce uncertainty in timing and intensity of any rain. Afternoon convection typical for late-summer Taipei can suppress temperatures if showers develop early, or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of the forecast range. Model guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups support the current implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on updated CWA guidance and real-time observations of cloud breaks before the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,190End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) for August 28 point to a daytime high of 28–35 °C under mostly cloudy skies with brief showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 34–36 °C.** Recent typhoon activity (notably Typhoon Shadel/#18) has increased cloud cover and moisture across northern Taiwan, moderating peak solar heating while southwest flow and possible outer-band effects introduce uncertainty in timing and intensity of any rain. Afternoon convection typical for late-summer Taipei can suppress temperatures if showers develop early, or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of the forecast range. Model guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups support the current implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on updated CWA guidance and real-time observations of cloud breaks before the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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