Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and ECMWF highlight northerly winds advecting cooler air into central Anatolia, combined with a 50-65% chance of thunderstorms on August 28 that increase cloud cover and limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13-16°C at Ankara's ~900 m elevation, where clear-sky radiational losses typically drop readings several degrees below daytime highs of 25-28°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August averages near 16°C lows, noting that storm timing and wind strength could shift outcomes by 1-3°C either way depending on the precise arrival of frontal boundaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
16°C 45%
15°C 44%
12°C 43%
13°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
43%
13°C
42%
14°C
42%
15°C
44%
16°C
45%
17°C
21%
18°C
32%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 45%
15°C 44%
12°C 43%
13°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
$146 Vol.
2%
11°C
$128 Vol.
6%
12°C
$6 Vol.
43%
13°C
$0 Vol.
42%
14°C
$0 Vol.
42%
15°C
$0 Vol.
44%
16°C
$0 Vol.
45%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$15 Vol.
32%
19°C
$15 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and ECMWF highlight northerly winds advecting cooler air into central Anatolia, combined with a 50-65% chance of thunderstorms on August 28 that increase cloud cover and limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13-16°C at Ankara's ~900 m elevation, where clear-sky radiational losses typically drop readings several degrees below daytime highs of 25-28°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August averages near 16°C lows, noting that storm timing and wind strength could shift outcomes by 1-3°C either way depending on the precise arrival of frontal boundaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$344End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and ECMWF highlight northerly winds advecting cooler air into central Anatolia, combined with a 50-65% chance of thunderstorms on August 28 that increase cloud cover and limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13-16°C at Ankara's ~900 m elevation, where clear-sky radiational losses typically drop readings several degrees below daytime highs of 25-28°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August averages near 16°C lows, noting that storm timing and wind strength could shift outcomes by 1-3°C either way depending on the precise arrival of frontal boundaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$344End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and ECMWF highlight northerly winds advecting cooler air into central Anatolia, combined with a 50-65% chance of thunderstorms on August 28 that increase cloud cover and limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13-16°C at Ankara's ~900 m elevation, where clear-sky radiational losses typically drop readings several degrees below daytime highs of 25-28°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August averages near 16°C lows, noting that storm timing and wind strength could shift outcomes by 1-3°C either way depending on the precise arrival of frontal boundaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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