Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station highlight the arrival of widespread rainfall and associated cooling starting the night of August 28, driven by a shift from persistent subtropical high pressure to moisture influx and possible cold air influence. This follows several days of extreme heat exceeding 38–40°C, with models showing precipitation (locally heavy) enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that should moderate nighttime lows. Forecast ranges cluster between roughly 25–28°C, creating tight market-implied odds around 27–29°C as traders weigh timing uncertainties in rain onset, storm intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines and ensemble spread underscore the sensitivity of minimum temperatures to these evolving atmospheric conditions ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 28?
31°C or higher 78%
27°C 47%
28°C 45%
29°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
43%
26°C
45%
27°C
47%
28°C
45%
29°C
45%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
78%
31°C or higher 78%
27°C 47%
28°C 45%
29°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
$112 Vol.
1%
22°C
$102 Vol.
1%
23°C
$37 Vol.
1%
24°C
$32 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
43%
26°C
$0 Vol.
45%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
45%
29°C
$0 Vol.
45%
30°C
$30 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$42 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station highlight the arrival of widespread rainfall and associated cooling starting the night of August 28, driven by a shift from persistent subtropical high pressure to moisture influx and possible cold air influence. This follows several days of extreme heat exceeding 38–40°C, with models showing precipitation (locally heavy) enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that should moderate nighttime lows. Forecast ranges cluster between roughly 25–28°C, creating tight market-implied odds around 27–29°C as traders weigh timing uncertainties in rain onset, storm intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines and ensemble spread underscore the sensitivity of minimum temperatures to these evolving atmospheric conditions ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$355End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station highlight the arrival of widespread rainfall and associated cooling starting the night of August 28, driven by a shift from persistent subtropical high pressure to moisture influx and possible cold air influence. This follows several days of extreme heat exceeding 38–40°C, with models showing precipitation (locally heavy) enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that should moderate nighttime lows. Forecast ranges cluster between roughly 25–28°C, creating tight market-implied odds around 27–29°C as traders weigh timing uncertainties in rain onset, storm intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines and ensemble spread underscore the sensitivity of minimum temperatures to these evolving atmospheric conditions ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$355End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station highlight the arrival of widespread rainfall and associated cooling starting the night of August 28, driven by a shift from persistent subtropical high pressure to moisture influx and possible cold air influence. This follows several days of extreme heat exceeding 38–40°C, with models showing precipitation (locally heavy) enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that should moderate nighttime lows. Forecast ranges cluster between roughly 25–28°C, creating tight market-implied odds around 27–29°C as traders weigh timing uncertainties in rain onset, storm intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines and ensemble spread underscore the sensitivity of minimum temperatures to these evolving atmospheric conditions ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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