**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 6, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate nighttime temperatures bottoming out near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with the region's typical early-September pattern of warm, humid nights influenced by Red Sea moisture and light northwesterly winds. Official monitoring shows daytime highs near 35–36°C and minimal overnight cooling, aligning with historical September lows averaging 28–29°C but elevated this year due to persistent warmth. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time model outputs and climatological baselines rather than a guarantee. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger-than-expected cloud cover, a shift in steering winds, or revised station measurements that push the observed minimum below 30°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 6?
31°C 99%
30°C 3%
28°C 2%
29°C 1%
$1,152 Vol.
$1,152 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99%
30°C 3%
28°C 2%
29°C 1%
$1,152 Vol.
$1,152 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 6, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate nighttime temperatures bottoming out near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with the region's typical early-September pattern of warm, humid nights influenced by Red Sea moisture and light northwesterly winds. Official monitoring shows daytime highs near 35–36°C and minimal overnight cooling, aligning with historical September lows averaging 28–29°C but elevated this year due to persistent warmth. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time model outputs and climatological baselines rather than a guarantee. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger-than-expected cloud cover, a shift in steering winds, or revised station measurements that push the observed minimum below 30°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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