**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on August 28 likely between 19–22°C, with trader probabilities tightly clustered around these values due to lingering uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and precipitation.** On August 26, official guidance from sources like ilMeteo, WeatherBug, and globalmeteo shows Friday’s conditions turning mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds. This setup limits clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset, keeping overnight lows milder than on clearer nights. Recent warm, humid air (dew points near 21–22°C) and model spreads in timing of any rain further narrow the expected minimum range. Historical late-August baselines for Milan sit near 16–18°C under typical clear conditions, but the current pattern of instability supports the market’s emphasis on the 19–22°C band. New model runs and updated forecasts through August 27 will refine the exact low before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 28?
19°C 36%
20°C 35%
22°C 35%
18°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
5%
17°C
15%
18°C
35%
19°C
36%
20°C
35%
21°C
35%
22°C
35%
23°C
33%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
20°C 35%
22°C 35%
18°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$114 Vol.
5%
17°C
$136 Vol.
15%
18°C
$0 Vol.
35%
19°C
$0 Vol.
36%
20°C
$0 Vol.
35%
21°C
$15 Vol.
35%
22°C
$0 Vol.
35%
23°C
$0 Vol.
33%
24°C
$37 Vol.
2%
25°C
$37 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on August 28 likely between 19–22°C, with trader probabilities tightly clustered around these values due to lingering uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and precipitation.**
On August 26, official guidance from sources like ilMeteo, WeatherBug, and globalmeteo shows Friday’s conditions turning mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds. This setup limits clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset, keeping overnight lows milder than on clearer nights. Recent warm, humid air (dew points near 21–22°C) and model spreads in timing of any rain further narrow the expected minimum range. Historical late-August baselines for Milan sit near 16–18°C under typical clear conditions, but the current pattern of instability supports the market’s emphasis on the 19–22°C band. New model runs and updated forecasts through August 27 will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$376End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on August 28 likely between 19–22°C, with trader probabilities tightly clustered around these values due to lingering uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and precipitation.**
On August 26, official guidance from sources like ilMeteo, WeatherBug, and globalmeteo shows Friday’s conditions turning mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds. This setup limits clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset, keeping overnight lows milder than on clearer nights. Recent warm, humid air (dew points near 21–22°C) and model spreads in timing of any rain further narrow the expected minimum range. Historical late-August baselines for Milan sit near 16–18°C under typical clear conditions, but the current pattern of instability supports the market’s emphasis on the 19–22°C band. New model runs and updated forecasts through August 27 will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$376End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on August 28 likely between 19–22°C, with trader probabilities tightly clustered around these values due to lingering uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and precipitation.** On August 26, official guidance from sources like ilMeteo, WeatherBug, and globalmeteo shows Friday’s conditions turning mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds. This setup limits clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset, keeping overnight lows milder than on clearer nights. Recent warm, humid air (dew points near 21–22°C) and model spreads in timing of any rain further narrow the expected minimum range. Historical late-August baselines for Milan sit near 16–18°C under typical clear conditions, but the current pattern of instability supports the market’s emphasis on the 19–22°C band. New model runs and updated forecasts through August 27 will refine the exact low before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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