Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 8 around 22–24°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air masses and variable cloud cover with scattered light rain that moderates overnight radiative cooling. Current conditions on September 6–7, including light rain and temperatures near 24°C overnight, support a transition toward these values rather than deeper cooling or warmer advection. Model consensus favors a minimum near 23–24°C, though small shifts in wind timing, precipitation duration, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside potential from the current pattern. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
24°C 49%
25°C 29%
22°C 15%
23°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
15%
23°C
15%
24°C
49%
25°C
29%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
25°C 29%
22°C 15%
23°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
$234 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$707 Vol.
15%
24°C
$2,554 Vol.
49%
25°C
$141 Vol.
29%
26°C
$0 Vol.
11%
27°C
$213 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 8 around 22–24°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air masses and variable cloud cover with scattered light rain that moderates overnight radiative cooling. Current conditions on September 6–7, including light rain and temperatures near 24°C overnight, support a transition toward these values rather than deeper cooling or warmer advection. Model consensus favors a minimum near 23–24°C, though small shifts in wind timing, precipitation duration, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside potential from the current pattern. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,955End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 8 around 22–24°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air masses and variable cloud cover with scattered light rain that moderates overnight radiative cooling. Current conditions on September 6–7, including light rain and temperatures near 24°C overnight, support a transition toward these values rather than deeper cooling or warmer advection. Model consensus favors a minimum near 23–24°C, though small shifts in wind timing, precipitation duration, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside potential from the current pattern. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,955End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 8 around 22–24°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air masses and variable cloud cover with scattered light rain that moderates overnight radiative cooling. Current conditions on September 6–7, including light rain and temperatures near 24°C overnight, support a transition toward these values rather than deeper cooling or warmer advection. Model consensus favors a minimum near 23–24°C, though small shifts in wind timing, precipitation duration, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside potential from the current pattern. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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