Persistent rain and thunderstorms from Typhoon Zitan's remnants combined with southwest monsoon flow are sustaining high humidity and cloud cover over Shenzhen, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 26–28°C. Forecast models show dew points holding around 26°C with light winds, which reduces the typical diurnal drop and favors the closely matched market probabilities for 27°C and 28°C. Scattered convection on August 28 may further moderate temperatures depending on timing and intensity, while clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings near 26°C. Updated regional model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will clarify the exact minimum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
27°C 48%
28°C 39%
26°C 39%
25°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
19%
25°C
34%
26°C
39%
27°C
48%
28°C
39%
29°C
25%
30°C
11%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 48%
28°C 39%
26°C 39%
25°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$128 Vol.
1%
23°C
$37 Vol.
1%
24°C
$16 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
48%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$32 Vol.
11%
31°C
$37 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$37 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and thunderstorms from Typhoon Zitan's remnants combined with southwest monsoon flow are sustaining high humidity and cloud cover over Shenzhen, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 26–28°C. Forecast models show dew points holding around 26°C with light winds, which reduces the typical diurnal drop and favors the closely matched market probabilities for 27°C and 28°C. Scattered convection on August 28 may further moderate temperatures depending on timing and intensity, while clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings near 26°C. Updated regional model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will clarify the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$286End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and thunderstorms from Typhoon Zitan's remnants combined with southwest monsoon flow are sustaining high humidity and cloud cover over Shenzhen, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 26–28°C. Forecast models show dew points holding around 26°C with light winds, which reduces the typical diurnal drop and favors the closely matched market probabilities for 27°C and 28°C. Scattered convection on August 28 may further moderate temperatures depending on timing and intensity, while clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings near 26°C. Updated regional model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will clarify the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$286End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and thunderstorms from Typhoon Zitan's remnants combined with southwest monsoon flow are sustaining high humidity and cloud cover over Shenzhen, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 26–28°C. Forecast models show dew points holding around 26°C with light winds, which reduces the typical diurnal drop and favors the closely matched market probabilities for 27°C and 28°C. Scattered convection on August 28 may further moderate temperatures depending on timing and intensity, while clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings near 26°C. Updated regional model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will clarify the exact minimum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions