Persistent heat across western Saudi Arabia, with recent daily maxima frequently reaching 37–40 °C amid clear skies and strong insolation, underpins trader preference for a Jeddah peak of 38 °C or higher on August 28. Short-range model guidance from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF projects a maximum near 37 °C under light southwesterly flow, yet the 63 % implied probability for 38 °C+ reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon heating and the historical tendency for late-August readings to exceed monthly averages of roughly 37–38 °C. Low precipitation risk and stable pressure favor minimal cloud cover that could otherwise cap temperatures, while the slim odds assigned to 36 °C or below align with the absence of any cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze strengthening or transient cloud bands in the current forecast suite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 28?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 28?
38°C or higher 64%
37°C 30%
36°C 7%
34°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
7%
37°C
30%
38°C or higher
64%
38°C or higher 64%
37°C 30%
36°C 7%
34°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
28°C or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$297 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$178 Vol.
2%
33°C
$178 Vol.
2%
34°C
$159 Vol.
3%
35°C
$187 Vol.
3%
36°C
$339 Vol.
7%
37°C
$478 Vol.
30%
38°C or higher
$907 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across western Saudi Arabia, with recent daily maxima frequently reaching 37–40 °C amid clear skies and strong insolation, underpins trader preference for a Jeddah peak of 38 °C or higher on August 28. Short-range model guidance from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF projects a maximum near 37 °C under light southwesterly flow, yet the 63 % implied probability for 38 °C+ reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon heating and the historical tendency for late-August readings to exceed monthly averages of roughly 37–38 °C. Low precipitation risk and stable pressure favor minimal cloud cover that could otherwise cap temperatures, while the slim odds assigned to 36 °C or below align with the absence of any cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze strengthening or transient cloud bands in the current forecast suite.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,500End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across western Saudi Arabia, with recent daily maxima frequently reaching 37–40 °C amid clear skies and strong insolation, underpins trader preference for a Jeddah peak of 38 °C or higher on August 28. Short-range model guidance from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF projects a maximum near 37 °C under light southwesterly flow, yet the 63 % implied probability for 38 °C+ reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon heating and the historical tendency for late-August readings to exceed monthly averages of roughly 37–38 °C. Low precipitation risk and stable pressure favor minimal cloud cover that could otherwise cap temperatures, while the slim odds assigned to 36 °C or below align with the absence of any cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze strengthening or transient cloud bands in the current forecast suite.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,500End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat across western Saudi Arabia, with recent daily maxima frequently reaching 37–40 °C amid clear skies and strong insolation, underpins trader preference for a Jeddah peak of 38 °C or higher on August 28. Short-range model guidance from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF projects a maximum near 37 °C under light southwesterly flow, yet the 63 % implied probability for 38 °C+ reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon heating and the historical tendency for late-August readings to exceed monthly averages of roughly 37–38 °C. Low precipitation risk and stable pressure favor minimal cloud cover that could otherwise cap temperatures, while the slim odds assigned to 36 °C or below align with the absence of any cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze strengthening or transient cloud bands in the current forecast suite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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