Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models show Moscow's August 28 maximum temperature centered on 19–20°C under variable cloudiness, light northerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where daytime highs average near 19°C as solar angles decline and cooler air masses dominate. Recent days featured similar conditions with highs of 18–20°C amid a stable high-pressure pattern and northwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. Model consensus supports these values with low spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C; traders' heavy weighting on 19°C and 20°C reflects this narrow forecast range ahead of the day's official observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
19°C 49%
20°C 38%
18°C 8%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
49%
20°C
38%
21°C
7%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 49%
20°C 38%
18°C 8%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
49%
20°C
38%
21°C
7%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models show Moscow's August 28 maximum temperature centered on 19–20°C under variable cloudiness, light northerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where daytime highs average near 19°C as solar angles decline and cooler air masses dominate. Recent days featured similar conditions with highs of 18–20°C amid a stable high-pressure pattern and northwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. Model consensus supports these values with low spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C; traders' heavy weighting on 19°C and 20°C reflects this narrow forecast range ahead of the day's official observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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