Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a September 9 high near 29–30°C amid the rainy season, with 60–100% precipitation chances and extensive cloud cover that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions favor outcomes clustered around 31–32°C over higher values, though model spread in shower timing and intensity creates uncertainty between 31°C and 33°C. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, while elevated humidity and light winds reduce diurnal ranges. Traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against climatology, assigning the modest 5% probability to 34°C+ given suppressed heating from convection. Updated model guidance on cloud persistence remains the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
33°C 48%
32°C 31%
31°C 22%
29°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
16%
30°C
14%
31°C
22%
32°C
31%
33°C
48%
34°C or higher
10%
33°C 48%
32°C 31%
31°C 22%
29°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
$29 Vol.
1%
25°C
$475 Vol.
1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
1%
27°C
$125 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$30 Vol.
22%
32°C
$0 Vol.
31%
33°C
$0 Vol.
48%
34°C or higher
$11 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a September 9 high near 29–30°C amid the rainy season, with 60–100% precipitation chances and extensive cloud cover that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions favor outcomes clustered around 31–32°C over higher values, though model spread in shower timing and intensity creates uncertainty between 31°C and 33°C. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, while elevated humidity and light winds reduce diurnal ranges. Traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against climatology, assigning the modest 5% probability to 34°C+ given suppressed heating from convection. Updated model guidance on cloud persistence remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$795End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a September 9 high near 29–30°C amid the rainy season, with 60–100% precipitation chances and extensive cloud cover that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions favor outcomes clustered around 31–32°C over higher values, though model spread in shower timing and intensity creates uncertainty between 31°C and 33°C. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, while elevated humidity and light winds reduce diurnal ranges. Traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against climatology, assigning the modest 5% probability to 34°C+ given suppressed heating from convection. Updated model guidance on cloud persistence remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$795End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a September 9 high near 29–30°C amid the rainy season, with 60–100% precipitation chances and extensive cloud cover that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions favor outcomes clustered around 31–32°C over higher values, though model spread in shower timing and intensity creates uncertainty between 31°C and 33°C. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, while elevated humidity and light winds reduce diurnal ranges. Traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against climatology, assigning the modest 5% probability to 34°C+ given suppressed heating from convection. Updated model guidance on cloud persistence remains the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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