Current forecasts from regional models indicate overnight lows in Panama City near 25–26°C on September 9, consistent with September climatology of 23–25°C minima amid the wet season. High humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling while steering patterns and wind speeds influence boundary-layer mixing. Slight model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, as heavier overnight rain could suppress the low toward 24°C or below through evaporative effects, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief cooling to 23°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing low day-to-day variability in this equatorial regime.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
20°C or below 95%
30°C or higher 95%
25°C 81%
23°C 62%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
95%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
62%
24°C
49%
25°C
81%
26°C
56%
27°C
50%
28°C
50%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
95%
20°C or below 95%
30°C or higher 95%
25°C 81%
23°C 62%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
95%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
62%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
81%
26°C
$100 Vol.
56%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
50%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate overnight lows in Panama City near 25–26°C on September 9, consistent with September climatology of 23–25°C minima amid the wet season. High humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling while steering patterns and wind speeds influence boundary-layer mixing. Slight model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, as heavier overnight rain could suppress the low toward 24°C or below through evaporative effects, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief cooling to 23°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing low day-to-day variability in this equatorial regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$100End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate overnight lows in Panama City near 25–26°C on September 9, consistent with September climatology of 23–25°C minima amid the wet season. High humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling while steering patterns and wind speeds influence boundary-layer mixing. Slight model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, as heavier overnight rain could suppress the low toward 24°C or below through evaporative effects, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief cooling to 23°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing low day-to-day variability in this equatorial regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models indicate overnight lows in Panama City near 25–26°C on September 9, consistent with September climatology of 23–25°C minima amid the wet season. High humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling while steering patterns and wind speeds influence boundary-layer mixing. Slight model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, as heavier overnight rain could suppress the low toward 24°C or below through evaporative effects, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief cooling to 23°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing low day-to-day variability in this equatorial regime.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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