Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 9 amid a regional heat wave, with daytime highs forecast near 89–98 °F and minimal marine-layer cooling. These elevated minima reflect reduced onshore flow, clear skies, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling, pushing the daily low well above the 1991–2020 average of 64 °F. Trader emphasis on the 82 °F-or-higher bucket alongside 74–75 °F reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and station-specific readings, while lower-probability 60s outcomes align with historical September records but lack support from current observations. Updated model runs and official minimum reports on September 10 will provide the primary resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 9?
82°F or higher 92%
78-79°F 49%
64-65°F 48%
66-67°F 48%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
63°F or below
24%
64-65°F
48%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
48%
82°F or higher
92%
82°F or higher 92%
78-79°F 49%
64-65°F 48%
66-67°F 48%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
63°F or below
$90 Vol.
24%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
48%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
48%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
48%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
48%
72-73°F
$30 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$129 Vol.
31%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
49%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
48%
82°F or higher
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 9 amid a regional heat wave, with daytime highs forecast near 89–98 °F and minimal marine-layer cooling. These elevated minima reflect reduced onshore flow, clear skies, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling, pushing the daily low well above the 1991–2020 average of 64 °F. Trader emphasis on the 82 °F-or-higher bucket alongside 74–75 °F reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and station-specific readings, while lower-probability 60s outcomes align with historical September records but lack support from current observations. Updated model runs and official minimum reports on September 10 will provide the primary resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$249End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 9 amid a regional heat wave, with daytime highs forecast near 89–98 °F and minimal marine-layer cooling. These elevated minima reflect reduced onshore flow, clear skies, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling, pushing the daily low well above the 1991–2020 average of 64 °F. Trader emphasis on the 82 °F-or-higher bucket alongside 74–75 °F reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and station-specific readings, while lower-probability 60s outcomes align with historical September records but lack support from current observations. Updated model runs and official minimum reports on September 10 will provide the primary resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$249End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 9 amid a regional heat wave, with daytime highs forecast near 89–98 °F and minimal marine-layer cooling. These elevated minima reflect reduced onshore flow, clear skies, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling, pushing the daily low well above the 1991–2020 average of 64 °F. Trader emphasis on the 82 °F-or-higher bucket alongside 74–75 °F reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and station-specific readings, while lower-probability 60s outcomes align with historical September records but lack support from current observations. Updated model runs and official minimum reports on September 10 will provide the primary resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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