Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Beijing on August 28 near 18–20°C, driven by lingering effects of a cold front and associated rainfall that has suppressed daytime heating and enhanced nighttime radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Weak northerly flow is advecting slightly cooler air while high humidity and light winds limit further drops, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around historical averages. Model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud persistence, exact timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter surface temperatures by 1–3°C. Trader consensus across 18–22°C reflects this forecast uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
17°C 47%
20°C 45%
21°C 45%
18°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
3%
16°C
24%
17°C
47%
18°C
44%
19°C
41%
20°C
45%
21°C
45%
22°C
41%
23°C
22%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
17°C 47%
20°C 45%
21°C 45%
18°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
$37 Vol.
3%
16°C
$15 Vol.
24%
17°C
$10 Vol.
47%
18°C
$0 Vol.
44%
19°C
$0 Vol.
41%
20°C
$0 Vol.
45%
21°C
$0 Vol.
45%
22°C
$0 Vol.
41%
23°C
$26 Vol.
22%
24°C
$37 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Beijing on August 28 near 18–20°C, driven by lingering effects of a cold front and associated rainfall that has suppressed daytime heating and enhanced nighttime radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Weak northerly flow is advecting slightly cooler air while high humidity and light winds limit further drops, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around historical averages. Model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud persistence, exact timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter surface temperatures by 1–3°C. Trader consensus across 18–22°C reflects this forecast uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$151End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Beijing on August 28 near 18–20°C, driven by lingering effects of a cold front and associated rainfall that has suppressed daytime heating and enhanced nighttime radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Weak northerly flow is advecting slightly cooler air while high humidity and light winds limit further drops, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around historical averages. Model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud persistence, exact timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter surface temperatures by 1–3°C. Trader consensus across 18–22°C reflects this forecast uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$151End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Beijing on August 28 near 18–20°C, driven by lingering effects of a cold front and associated rainfall that has suppressed daytime heating and enhanced nighttime radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Weak northerly flow is advecting slightly cooler air while high humidity and light winds limit further drops, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around historical averages. Model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud persistence, exact timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter surface temperatures by 1–3°C. Trader consensus across 18–22°C reflects this forecast uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions