**Forecast models indicate a low around 24–26°C for Chengdu on August 28, 2026, with trader odds clustered tightly at 25–27°C reflecting uncertainty in overnight cooling under expected thunderstorm conditions.** Persistent rain and high humidity (60–90% chance of storms) limit radiative cooling by maintaining cloud cover and elevating dew points near 24–25°C. Light variable winds (under 10 km/h) further reduce mixing, while recent patterns show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s amid similar convective activity. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office points to a 24°C minimum, but variations in precipitation timing and any partial clearing could allow brief drops toward 23–24°C or hold readings nearer 27°C depending on model runs. Historical August baselines in the region average lows near 22–24°C, yet current moisture and instability support the higher end of the distribution. New model updates and radar trends ahead of the overnight period will likely refine the precise minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
26°C 48%
25°C 42%
29°C or higher 41%
27°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
31%
24°C
34%
25°C
42%
26°C
48%
27°C
40%
28°C
32%
29°C or higher
41%
26°C 48%
25°C 42%
29°C or higher 41%
27°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$149 Vol.
1%
20°C
$60 Vol.
1%
21°C
$100 Vol.
1%
22°C
$37 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
31%
24°C
$0 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
42%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
32%
29°C or higher
$130 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a low around 24–26°C for Chengdu on August 28, 2026, with trader odds clustered tightly at 25–27°C reflecting uncertainty in overnight cooling under expected thunderstorm conditions.**
Persistent rain and high humidity (60–90% chance of storms) limit radiative cooling by maintaining cloud cover and elevating dew points near 24–25°C. Light variable winds (under 10 km/h) further reduce mixing, while recent patterns show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s amid similar convective activity. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office points to a 24°C minimum, but variations in precipitation timing and any partial clearing could allow brief drops toward 23–24°C or hold readings nearer 27°C depending on model runs. Historical August baselines in the region average lows near 22–24°C, yet current moisture and instability support the higher end of the distribution. New model updates and radar trends ahead of the overnight period will likely refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$477End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a low around 24–26°C for Chengdu on August 28, 2026, with trader odds clustered tightly at 25–27°C reflecting uncertainty in overnight cooling under expected thunderstorm conditions.**
Persistent rain and high humidity (60–90% chance of storms) limit radiative cooling by maintaining cloud cover and elevating dew points near 24–25°C. Light variable winds (under 10 km/h) further reduce mixing, while recent patterns show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s amid similar convective activity. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office points to a 24°C minimum, but variations in precipitation timing and any partial clearing could allow brief drops toward 23–24°C or hold readings nearer 27°C depending on model runs. Historical August baselines in the region average lows near 22–24°C, yet current moisture and instability support the higher end of the distribution. New model updates and radar trends ahead of the overnight period will likely refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$477End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a low around 24–26°C for Chengdu on August 28, 2026, with trader odds clustered tightly at 25–27°C reflecting uncertainty in overnight cooling under expected thunderstorm conditions.** Persistent rain and high humidity (60–90% chance of storms) limit radiative cooling by maintaining cloud cover and elevating dew points near 24–25°C. Light variable winds (under 10 km/h) further reduce mixing, while recent patterns show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s amid similar convective activity. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office points to a 24°C minimum, but variations in precipitation timing and any partial clearing could allow brief drops toward 23–24°C or hold readings nearer 27°C depending on model runs. Historical August baselines in the region average lows near 22–24°C, yet current moisture and instability support the higher end of the distribution. New model updates and radar trends ahead of the overnight period will likely refine the precise minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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