Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate Miami's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle in the low 80s amid persistent tropical moisture, easterly flow, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. High dew points near 78–81°F and cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop, keeping minima above the 77.5°F August 30 climatological average. Variability in storm timing, wind speed, and exact cloud thickness creates the tight spread across 74–83°F bins, as stronger convection or clearer skies overnight could shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 30?
86-87°F 44%
84-85°F 39%
88-89°F 38%
80-81°F 32%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
18%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
14%
92°F or higher
18%
86-87°F 44%
84-85°F 39%
88-89°F 38%
80-81°F 32%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
17%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
17%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
32%
82-83°F
$42 Vol.
23%
84-85°F
$34 Vol.
39%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
44%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
38%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
14%
92°F or higher
$5 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate Miami's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle in the low 80s amid persistent tropical moisture, easterly flow, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. High dew points near 78–81°F and cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop, keeping minima above the 77.5°F August 30 climatological average. Variability in storm timing, wind speed, and exact cloud thickness creates the tight spread across 74–83°F bins, as stronger convection or clearer skies overnight could shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$96End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate Miami's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle in the low 80s amid persistent tropical moisture, easterly flow, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. High dew points near 78–81°F and cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop, keeping minima above the 77.5°F August 30 climatological average. Variability in storm timing, wind speed, and exact cloud thickness creates the tight spread across 74–83°F bins, as stronger convection or clearer skies overnight could shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$96End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate Miami's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle in the low 80s amid persistent tropical moisture, easterly flow, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. High dew points near 78–81°F and cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop, keeping minima above the 77.5°F August 30 climatological average. Variability in storm timing, wind speed, and exact cloud thickness creates the tight spread across 74–83°F bins, as stronger convection or clearer skies overnight could shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions