Recent forecast updates from multiple models highlight an approaching frontal system and associated thunderstorms expected Friday afternoon and evening in Munich, which will increase cloud cover, enhance mixing, and deliver a cooler air mass that caps the overnight minimum. This dynamic has narrowed trader focus on the 15–16 °C range, with implied probabilities of 43.5 % and 42.0 % reflecting the narrow spread between ensemble guidance and slight differences in timing of precipitation and wind. Historical climatology shows a long-term average low near 13 °C, yet the current warmer baseline and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty in the exact minimum, keeping nearby outcomes such as 14 °C and 17 °C as secondary possibilities until the final model runs and observational data arrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 28?
17°C 43%
15°C 43%
16°C 43%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
12%
15°C
43%
16°C
43%
17°C
43%
18°C
13%
19°C
9%
20°C
7%
21°C
6%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 43%
15°C 43%
16°C 43%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$42 Vol.
1%
13°C
$86 Vol.
7%
14°C
$0 Vol.
12%
15°C
$0 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
43%
17°C
$0 Vol.
43%
18°C
$0 Vol.
13%
19°C
$21 Vol.
9%
20°C
$50 Vol.
7%
21°C
$42 Vol.
6%
22°C or higher
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from multiple models highlight an approaching frontal system and associated thunderstorms expected Friday afternoon and evening in Munich, which will increase cloud cover, enhance mixing, and deliver a cooler air mass that caps the overnight minimum. This dynamic has narrowed trader focus on the 15–16 °C range, with implied probabilities of 43.5 % and 42.0 % reflecting the narrow spread between ensemble guidance and slight differences in timing of precipitation and wind. Historical climatology shows a long-term average low near 13 °C, yet the current warmer baseline and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty in the exact minimum, keeping nearby outcomes such as 14 °C and 17 °C as secondary possibilities until the final model runs and observational data arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$284End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from multiple models highlight an approaching frontal system and associated thunderstorms expected Friday afternoon and evening in Munich, which will increase cloud cover, enhance mixing, and deliver a cooler air mass that caps the overnight minimum. This dynamic has narrowed trader focus on the 15–16 °C range, with implied probabilities of 43.5 % and 42.0 % reflecting the narrow spread between ensemble guidance and slight differences in timing of precipitation and wind. Historical climatology shows a long-term average low near 13 °C, yet the current warmer baseline and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty in the exact minimum, keeping nearby outcomes such as 14 °C and 17 °C as secondary possibilities until the final model runs and observational data arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$284End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from multiple models highlight an approaching frontal system and associated thunderstorms expected Friday afternoon and evening in Munich, which will increase cloud cover, enhance mixing, and deliver a cooler air mass that caps the overnight minimum. This dynamic has narrowed trader focus on the 15–16 °C range, with implied probabilities of 43.5 % and 42.0 % reflecting the narrow spread between ensemble guidance and slight differences in timing of precipitation and wind. Historical climatology shows a long-term average low near 13 °C, yet the current warmer baseline and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty in the exact minimum, keeping nearby outcomes such as 14 °C and 17 °C as secondary possibilities until the final model runs and observational data arrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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