Forecasts for Warsaw's overnight low on August 28 show model consensus on clear to partly cloudy skies under high pressure, with light southeasterly winds and dew points near 11–12 °C that limit radiative cooling. Numerical guidance diverges mainly on exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing spreads from the low teens Celsius in some runs to the mid-teens in others. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, yet recent high-pressure persistence has already produced slightly cooler nights than climatology. Traders assign near-equal weight to 11 °C and 13 °C outcomes because small changes in cloud cover or wind speed overnight can shift the reading by 1–2 °C before official verification. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of the 27th will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
16°C 80%
13°C 45%
11°C 44%
14°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
40%
11°C
44%
12°C
31%
13°C
45%
14°C
42%
15°C
42%
16°C
80%
17°C
7%
18°C
7%
19°C or higher
3%
16°C 80%
13°C 45%
11°C 44%
14°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
$64 Vol.
4%
10°C
$106 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
44%
12°C
$0 Vol.
31%
13°C
$0 Vol.
45%
14°C
$0 Vol.
42%
15°C
$0 Vol.
42%
16°C
$15 Vol.
80%
17°C
$167 Vol.
7%
18°C
$37 Vol.
7%
19°C or higher
$37 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Warsaw's overnight low on August 28 show model consensus on clear to partly cloudy skies under high pressure, with light southeasterly winds and dew points near 11–12 °C that limit radiative cooling. Numerical guidance diverges mainly on exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing spreads from the low teens Celsius in some runs to the mid-teens in others. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, yet recent high-pressure persistence has already produced slightly cooler nights than climatology. Traders assign near-equal weight to 11 °C and 13 °C outcomes because small changes in cloud cover or wind speed overnight can shift the reading by 1–2 °C before official verification. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of the 27th will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$426End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Warsaw's overnight low on August 28 show model consensus on clear to partly cloudy skies under high pressure, with light southeasterly winds and dew points near 11–12 °C that limit radiative cooling. Numerical guidance diverges mainly on exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing spreads from the low teens Celsius in some runs to the mid-teens in others. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, yet recent high-pressure persistence has already produced slightly cooler nights than climatology. Traders assign near-equal weight to 11 °C and 13 °C outcomes because small changes in cloud cover or wind speed overnight can shift the reading by 1–2 °C before official verification. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of the 27th will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$426End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Warsaw's overnight low on August 28 show model consensus on clear to partly cloudy skies under high pressure, with light southeasterly winds and dew points near 11–12 °C that limit radiative cooling. Numerical guidance diverges mainly on exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing spreads from the low teens Celsius in some runs to the mid-teens in others. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, yet recent high-pressure persistence has already produced slightly cooler nights than climatology. Traders assign near-equal weight to 11 °C and 13 °C outcomes because small changes in cloud cover or wind speed overnight can shift the reading by 1–2 °C before official verification. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of the 27th will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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