Recent forecast updates from global and regional models point to an afternoon peak near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on August 28, following several days of rain and thunderstorms that have kept recent highs at 31–33°C. In the city’s humid subtropical climate, reduced cloud cover and light winds after morning showers allow stronger solar heating, while the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C to measured maxima. Historical averages for the date sit at 33°C, with records reaching 36.2°C, leaving model spread and timing of any lingering moisture as the key variables that keep trader probabilities tightly split between the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 28?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 28?
35°C 34%
34°C 29%
36°C 20%
33°C 14%
NEW
$10,731 Vol.
NEW
$10,731 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
29%
35°C
34%
36°C
20%
37°C or higher
4%
35°C 34%
34°C 29%
36°C 20%
33°C 14%
NEW
$10,731 Vol.
NEW
$10,731 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
27°C or below
$153 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$92 Vol.
1%
30°C
$29 Vol.
1%
31°C
$137 Vol.
2%
32°C
$224 Vol.
5%
33°C
$346 Vol.
14%
34°C
$598 Vol.
29%
35°C
$4,661 Vol.
34%
36°C
$363 Vol.
20%
37°C or higher
$3,976 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global and regional models point to an afternoon peak near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on August 28, following several days of rain and thunderstorms that have kept recent highs at 31–33°C. In the city’s humid subtropical climate, reduced cloud cover and light winds after morning showers allow stronger solar heating, while the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C to measured maxima. Historical averages for the date sit at 33°C, with records reaching 36.2°C, leaving model spread and timing of any lingering moisture as the key variables that keep trader probabilities tightly split between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$10,731End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global and regional models point to an afternoon peak near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on August 28, following several days of rain and thunderstorms that have kept recent highs at 31–33°C. In the city’s humid subtropical climate, reduced cloud cover and light winds after morning showers allow stronger solar heating, while the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C to measured maxima. Historical averages for the date sit at 33°C, with records reaching 36.2°C, leaving model spread and timing of any lingering moisture as the key variables that keep trader probabilities tightly split between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,731End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from global and regional models point to an afternoon peak near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on August 28, following several days of rain and thunderstorms that have kept recent highs at 31–33°C. In the city’s humid subtropical climate, reduced cloud cover and light winds after morning showers allow stronger solar heating, while the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C to measured maxima. Historical averages for the date sit at 33°C, with records reaching 36.2°C, leaving model spread and timing of any lingering moisture as the key variables that keep trader probabilities tightly split between the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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