**Recent official forecasts for Moscow on August 28, 2026, center on daytime highs of 19–21 °C under variable cloudiness, light northerly to northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes of 19 °C (48.0 %) and 20 °C (37.5 %).** Multiple meteorological sources, including Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and European model guidance, show highs stabilizing near or slightly above the late-August climatological average of ~19 °C after cooler conditions earlier in the week (e.g., 18 °C on the 26th). Stable high pressure and a shift away from cooler northerly flows are the primary drivers keeping temperatures in this narrow band, with low precipitation probability and light winds limiting both warming and cooling extremes. Model consensus remains tight within 1–2 °C, though minor revisions to cloud cover or wind direction in the final 48-hour updates could nudge the daily maximum between 19 °C and 20 °C. Lower-probability outcomes (18 °C or 21 °C) reflect residual forecast spread, while extremes below 17 °C or above 22 °C remain unlikely given current atmospheric patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
19°C 48%
20°C 38%
18°C 10%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
48%
20°C
38%
21°C
7%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 48%
20°C 38%
18°C 10%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
48%
20°C
38%
21°C
7%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts for Moscow on August 28, 2026, center on daytime highs of 19–21 °C under variable cloudiness, light northerly to northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes of 19 °C (48.0 %) and 20 °C (37.5 %).** Multiple meteorological sources, including Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and European model guidance, show highs stabilizing near or slightly above the late-August climatological average of ~19 °C after cooler conditions earlier in the week (e.g., 18 °C on the 26th). Stable high pressure and a shift away from cooler northerly flows are the primary drivers keeping temperatures in this narrow band, with low precipitation probability and light winds limiting both warming and cooling extremes. Model consensus remains tight within 1–2 °C, though minor revisions to cloud cover or wind direction in the final 48-hour updates could nudge the daily maximum between 19 °C and 20 °C. Lower-probability outcomes (18 °C or 21 °C) reflect residual forecast spread, while extremes below 17 °C or above 22 °C remain unlikely given current atmospheric patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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