Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C daily maximum for Qingdao on August 28, 2026, driven by real-time station observations and short-range model guidance showing a peak near that level under mostly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and scattered showers. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services consistently project highs of 26–30°C, with the tight clustering around 27–28°C reflecting limited diurnal heating amid high humidity and cloud cover typical of late-summer monsoon influence. Historical climatology for late August supports this range, with average maxima near 28–29°C. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these data streams, though minor upward revisions remain possible if post-analysis from primary stations records a brief spike above the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,152 Vol.
$51,152 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,152 Vol.
$51,152 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
$17,084 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,230 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,323 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$3,218 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,717 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,216 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,932 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,882 Vol.
No
33°C
$888 Vol.
No
34°C
$374 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$289 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C daily maximum for Qingdao on August 28, 2026, driven by real-time station observations and short-range model guidance showing a peak near that level under mostly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and scattered showers. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services consistently project highs of 26–30°C, with the tight clustering around 27–28°C reflecting limited diurnal heating amid high humidity and cloud cover typical of late-summer monsoon influence. Historical climatology for late August supports this range, with average maxima near 28–29°C. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these data streams, though minor upward revisions remain possible if post-analysis from primary stations records a brief spike above the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$51,152End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C daily maximum for Qingdao on August 28, 2026, driven by real-time station observations and short-range model guidance showing a peak near that level under mostly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and scattered showers. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services consistently project highs of 26–30°C, with the tight clustering around 27–28°C reflecting limited diurnal heating amid high humidity and cloud cover typical of late-summer monsoon influence. Historical climatology for late August supports this range, with average maxima near 28–29°C. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these data streams, though minor upward revisions remain possible if post-analysis from primary stations records a brief spike above the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,152End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C daily maximum for Qingdao on August 28, 2026, driven by real-time station observations and short-range model guidance showing a peak near that level under mostly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and scattered showers. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services consistently project highs of 26–30°C, with the tight clustering around 27–28°C reflecting limited diurnal heating amid high humidity and cloud cover typical of late-summer monsoon influence. Historical climatology for late August supports this range, with average maxima near 28–29°C. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these data streams, though minor upward revisions remain possible if post-analysis from primary stations records a brief spike above the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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