Lula holds the leading position in Amapá trader consensus for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting his status as incumbent with recent state-specific momentum from Petrobras oil exploration announcements and infrastructure events. Flávio Bolsonaro follows as the primary opposition contender, drawing support from bolsonarista voters in the northern state amid national polarization. Lower-priced candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Pablo Marçal, and others register minimal odds due to limited local polling traction and name recognition in Amapá-specific surveys, where undecided voters and minor names fragment the remainder. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data polls show a tight Lula-Flávio race, yet trader pricing implies stronger weighting toward Lula's regional alliances and campaign visibility ahead of October voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLula 66%
Flavio Bolsonaro 27%
Hertz Dias 1.6%
Rui Costa Pimenta 1.4%
$10,452 Vol.
$10,452 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
66%
Flavio Bolsonaro
27%
Hertz Dias
2%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Lula 66%
Flavio Bolsonaro 27%
Hertz Dias 1.6%
Rui Costa Pimenta 1.4%
$10,452 Vol.
$10,452 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$2,517 Vol.
66%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,291 Vol.
27%
Hertz Dias
$873 Vol.
2%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$573 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,062 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$565 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$281 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$295 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$562 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$499 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$579 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$635 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$720 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the leading position in Amapá trader consensus for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting his status as incumbent with recent state-specific momentum from Petrobras oil exploration announcements and infrastructure events. Flávio Bolsonaro follows as the primary opposition contender, drawing support from bolsonarista voters in the northern state amid national polarization. Lower-priced candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Pablo Marçal, and others register minimal odds due to limited local polling traction and name recognition in Amapá-specific surveys, where undecided voters and minor names fragment the remainder. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data polls show a tight Lula-Flávio race, yet trader pricing implies stronger weighting toward Lula's regional alliances and campaign visibility ahead of October voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Volume
$10,452End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the leading position in Amapá trader consensus for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting his status as incumbent with recent state-specific momentum from Petrobras oil exploration announcements and infrastructure events. Flávio Bolsonaro follows as the primary opposition contender, drawing support from bolsonarista voters in the northern state amid national polarization. Lower-priced candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Pablo Marçal, and others register minimal odds due to limited local polling traction and name recognition in Amapá-specific surveys, where undecided voters and minor names fragment the remainder. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data polls show a tight Lula-Flávio race, yet trader pricing implies stronger weighting toward Lula's regional alliances and campaign visibility ahead of October voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,452End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds the leading position in Amapá trader consensus for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting his status as incumbent with recent state-specific momentum from Petrobras oil exploration announcements and infrastructure events. Flávio Bolsonaro follows as the primary opposition contender, drawing support from bolsonarista voters in the northern state amid national polarization. Lower-priced candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Pablo Marçal, and others register minimal odds due to limited local polling traction and name recognition in Amapá-specific surveys, where undecided voters and minor names fragment the remainder. Recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data polls show a tight Lula-Flávio race, yet trader pricing implies stronger weighting toward Lula's regional alliances and campaign visibility ahead of October voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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