The Espírito Santo Senate race for second place remains tightly contested among a field of experienced contenders, including Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), and Maguinha Malta (PL), as voters select two senators on October 4. Recent July 2026 polling from Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) dominating first place with 24-32%, while second-place support fragments across PSD figures like Meneguelli (up to 17% when Hartung is excluded) and others in the 6-12% range amid high undecided and blank votes. Party negotiations, including PSD-Republicanos alignments and internal debates over Meneguelli's confirmation, alongside name recognition for ex-governors, ex-senators, and the incumbent Contarato, sustain the balance. Further separation could arise from finalized coalitions, additional polling closer to the vote, or shifts tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSergio Meneguelli 38%
Fabiano Contarato 20.7%
Rose de Freitas 20.1%
Maguinha Malta 15.7%
$18,309 Vol.
$18,309 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
38%
Fabiano Contarato
21%
Rose de Freitas
20%
Maguinha Malta
16%
Renato Casagrande
3%
Evair de Melo
2%
Callegari
2%
Leonardo Monjardim
2%
Marcos do Val
1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli 38%
Fabiano Contarato 20.7%
Rose de Freitas 20.1%
Maguinha Malta 15.7%
$18,309 Vol.
$18,309 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
$12,799 Vol.
38%
Fabiano Contarato
$2,636 Vol.
21%
Rose de Freitas
$756 Vol.
20%
Maguinha Malta
$319 Vol.
16%
Renato Casagrande
$229 Vol.
3%
Evair de Melo
$371 Vol.
2%
Callegari
$398 Vol.
2%
Leonardo Monjardim
$258 Vol.
2%
Marcos do Val
$205 Vol.
1%
Rodney Miranda
$139 Vol.
<1%
Professor Fabian
$201 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race for second place remains tightly contested among a field of experienced contenders, including Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), and Maguinha Malta (PL), as voters select two senators on October 4. Recent July 2026 polling from Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) dominating first place with 24-32%, while second-place support fragments across PSD figures like Meneguelli (up to 17% when Hartung is excluded) and others in the 6-12% range amid high undecided and blank votes. Party negotiations, including PSD-Republicanos alignments and internal debates over Meneguelli's confirmation, alongside name recognition for ex-governors, ex-senators, and the incumbent Contarato, sustain the balance. Further separation could arise from finalized coalitions, additional polling closer to the vote, or shifts tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volume
$18,309End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race for second place remains tightly contested among a field of experienced contenders, including Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), and Maguinha Malta (PL), as voters select two senators on October 4. Recent July 2026 polling from Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) dominating first place with 24-32%, while second-place support fragments across PSD figures like Meneguelli (up to 17% when Hartung is excluded) and others in the 6-12% range amid high undecided and blank votes. Party negotiations, including PSD-Republicanos alignments and internal debates over Meneguelli's confirmation, alongside name recognition for ex-governors, ex-senators, and the incumbent Contarato, sustain the balance. Further separation could arise from finalized coalitions, additional polling closer to the vote, or shifts tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,309End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo Senate race for second place remains tightly contested among a field of experienced contenders, including Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), and Maguinha Malta (PL), as voters select two senators on October 4. Recent July 2026 polling from Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) dominating first place with 24-32%, while second-place support fragments across PSD figures like Meneguelli (up to 17% when Hartung is excluded) and others in the 6-12% range amid high undecided and blank votes. Party negotiations, including PSD-Republicanos alignments and internal debates over Meneguelli's confirmation, alongside name recognition for ex-governors, ex-senators, and the incumbent Contarato, sustain the balance. Further separation could arise from finalized coalitions, additional polling closer to the vote, or shifts tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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