Traders see 20°C and 21°C as the most likely lowest temperatures in Zhengzhou today, with nearly equal market-implied odds near 50% each, reflecting tight model consensus around a modest overnight minimum. Overcast skies and light northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling under humid late-summer conditions, keeping the diurnal range narrow as surface temperatures hover near 22°C into the early morning. Official guidance from sources aligned with NOAA and European models points to a low near 20–21°C, consistent with recent August climatology for the region. Urban heat island effects around the measurement site and any slight forecast adjustments in final hourly data releases could determine the exact recorded minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 28?
21°C 100.0%
17°C 19%
18°C 19%
16°C 12%
$2,778 Vol.
$2,778 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C 19%
18°C 19%
16°C 12%
$2,778 Vol.
$2,778 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
$68 Vol.
No
16°C
$31 Vol.
No
17°C
$41 Vol.
No
18°C
$85 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,987 Vol.
No
20°C
$55 Vol.
No
21°C
$148 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$104 Vol.
No
23°C
$98 Vol.
No
24°C
$76 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$85 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 20°C and 21°C as the most likely lowest temperatures in Zhengzhou today, with nearly equal market-implied odds near 50% each, reflecting tight model consensus around a modest overnight minimum. Overcast skies and light northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling under humid late-summer conditions, keeping the diurnal range narrow as surface temperatures hover near 22°C into the early morning. Official guidance from sources aligned with NOAA and European models points to a low near 20–21°C, consistent with recent August climatology for the region. Urban heat island effects around the measurement site and any slight forecast adjustments in final hourly data releases could determine the exact recorded minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,778End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 20°C and 21°C as the most likely lowest temperatures in Zhengzhou today, with nearly equal market-implied odds near 50% each, reflecting tight model consensus around a modest overnight minimum. Overcast skies and light northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling under humid late-summer conditions, keeping the diurnal range narrow as surface temperatures hover near 22°C into the early morning. Official guidance from sources aligned with NOAA and European models points to a low near 20–21°C, consistent with recent August climatology for the region. Urban heat island effects around the measurement site and any slight forecast adjustments in final hourly data releases could determine the exact recorded minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,778End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see 20°C and 21°C as the most likely lowest temperatures in Zhengzhou today, with nearly equal market-implied odds near 50% each, reflecting tight model consensus around a modest overnight minimum. Overcast skies and light northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling under humid late-summer conditions, keeping the diurnal range narrow as surface temperatures hover near 22°C into the early morning. Official guidance from sources aligned with NOAA and European models points to a low near 20–21°C, consistent with recent August climatology for the region. Urban heat island effects around the measurement site and any slight forecast adjustments in final hourly data releases could determine the exact recorded minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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